Up 59%! Here are 3 reasons I'd still buy Newmont shares today

A leading expert forecasts more outperformance from gold mining giant Newmont.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Newmont Corp (ASX: NEM) shares have delivered some outsized gains to faithful stockholders.

In afternoon trade on Tuesday, shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) gold stock were trading for $167.71 apiece.

That sees shares in the gold mining giant up 58.9% in a year, smashing the 4.6% 12-month gains delivered by the benchmark index. Atop those capital gains, Newmont stock also trades on a slender 0.6% unfranked trailing dividend yield.

The past month has been particularly rewarding for stockholders, with Newmont shares up 24.8% since market close on 13 July.

Part of that boost is thanks to a resurgent gold price. The yellow metal has gained 7.4% over the month to be trading for US$4,426 per ounce on Tuesday. Investors have also been snapping up Newmont stock following some promising recent updates.

And looking ahead, Bell Potter Securities' Christopher Watt expects the gold mining giant is well-positioned to keep outperforming (courtesy of The Bull).

Here's why.

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.

Image source: Getty Images

Should I buy Newmont shares today?

"Newmont is the world's largest gold miner," Watt said.

Explaining the first reason he issued a buy recommendation on Newmont shares, he said:

Its free cash flow yield appears attractive at conservative gold price assumptions, and even more so if gold prices increase. It reported record second quarter free cash flow of $2.2 billion in fiscal year 2026.

Other highlights from Newmont's Q2 results included a 25% year on year increase in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) to US$3.76 billion. And quarterly gold sales of US$6.12 billion were up 15.1% year on year.

Then there's the miner's strong 2026 gold production outlook.

"In July, the company announced it was on track to meet full-year production guidance of 5.3 million attributable ounces," Watt said.

Sounding a note of caution, Watt added:

There's execution risk from Ghana's shifting regulatory environment and seismic disruption near its Cadia mine in New South Wales. But underlying operations remain solid and management appears to be navigating both issues well.

Which brings us to the third reason I'd buy Newmont shares today.

On Tuesday, the ASX 200 gold miner reported that it had reached an agreement with Barrick Mining Corporation to resolve the disputes relating to their Nevada Gold Mines joint venture.

Under the agreement, Newmont will pay Barrick US$1.95 billion in consideration for land that had previously been excluded from the Nevada Gold Mines joint venture. Those tenements include Barrick's Fourmile and Newmont's Fiberline and Mike developments.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A woman holds a soldering tool as she sits in front of a computer screen while working on the manufacturing of technology equipment in a laboratory environment.
Broker Notes

Netwealth shares could be set to rise 60% in the next 12 months – Expert

This could be a value play after key acquisition.

Read more »

I young woman takes a bite out of a burrito n the street outside a Mexican fast-food establishment.
Broker Notes

Up 67%! Is it too late to buy the rally in Guzman Y Gomez shares now?

A leading expert delivers his verdict on the surging Guzman Y Gomez share price.

Read more »

Time to sell written on a clock.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Woolworths and CBA shares

A leading expert believes investors would do well to exit their Woolworths and CBA share holdings. But why?

Read more »

A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, and holding a mobile phone in his other hand.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Domino's Pizza, Telix Pharmaceuticals, Westfarmers shares

Brokers have given their verdicts on these ASX shares.

Read more »

Two happy and excited friends in euphoria holding a smartphone, after winning in a bet.
Broker Notes

2 ASX 200 shares tipped by brokers to return 73% and 83%

Do you have either of these ASX 200 shares in your investment portfolio?

Read more »

Woman tying up her shoelaces before a run.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Magellan, Iluka Resources, PLS Group shares

Let's check out some new ratings on ASX shares today.

Read more »

IT technician works on a laptop in big data centre full of rack servers.
Broker Notes

Down 32%: 3 reasons to buy the BIG dip in NextDC shares today

A leading expert forecasts better days ahead for NextDC’s beaten-down shares. But why?

Read more »

A wide-eyed happy woman with long brown hair and wearing a pink top holds her hands up in delight after hearing positive news
Broker Notes

3 ASX 200 shares tipped by experts to jump 30% to 62%

Post-earnings season, brokers have updated their 12-month price targets on these stocks.

Read more »