ASX lithium stocks were last year's big winners. What's next?

Lithium shares have cooled, but the long-term growth story remains compelling.

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It has been an extraordinary 12 months for Australia's biggest ASX lithium stocks.

Shares in PLS Group Ltd (ASX: PLS), Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN) and Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR) have all delivered triple-digit returns, making them among the best-performing stocks on the S&P/ASX 200 Index.

The rally has been driven largely by a sharp rebound in lithium prices. Lithium carbonate has surged around 145% over the past year, breathing new life into a sector that was under heavy pressure just 18 months ago.

More recently, though, momentum has cooled. Lithium prices have fallen roughly 15% over the past month, dragging the sector lower.

So, where do these former high-flyers go from here?

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PLS Group

PLS Group has been the standout performer, with its shares soaring an incredible 276% over the past year despite retreating around 22% over the past month.

The rally of the ASX lithium stock hasn't been driven by commodity prices alone. During its first-half result, the $18 billion miner reported a 47% increase in revenue to $624 million as higher realised lithium prices combined with stronger sales volumes.

Underlying EBITDA jumped 241% to $253 million, while margins expanded from 17% to an impressive 41%. Its flagship Pilgangoora mine remains one of the world's largest hard-rock lithium operations, providing significant scale advantages.

The biggest risk remains the lithium price. If the recent pullback deepens, earnings could come under pressure despite continued operational strength.

Mineral Resources

The $12 billion ASX lithium stock has climbed around 188% over the past year, although the shares have slipped approximately 15% during the past month.

Unlike many lithium peers, Mineral Resources offers investors far greater diversification. Alongside lithium, the company generates earnings from mining services and iron ore, helping smooth performance when individual commodities weaken.

Its latest half-year result was the strongest in company history. Revenue reached a record $3.1 billion, while EBITDA climbed to $1.2 billion, supported by improving lithium markets and the successful ramp-up of its Onslow Iron project. That growing iron ore business reduces the company's dependence on lithium alone.

Nevertheless, investors remain exposed to swings in both lithium and iron ore prices.

Liontown Resources

Liontown Resources has gained approximately 141% over the past year but has also experienced the sharpest recent correction, falling around 30% over the past month.

Much of the investment excitement around this ASX lithium stock centres on its Kathleen Valley operation, one of Australia's newest large-scale lithium mines.

The company continues to deliver rapid operational growth. During its latest half-year result, lithium production increased 70% to 192,514 dry metric tonnes, while revenue more than doubled to $207.5 million. As production ramps up further, operating efficiencies should continue improving.

However, Liontown remains almost entirely dependent on lithium prices, making its earnings especially sensitive to any sustained downturn in the market.

Foolish takeaway

The recent pullback is a timely reminder that ASX lithium stocks remain closely tied to the underlying commodity cycle.

Even so, all three companies continue growing production, expanding revenue, and executing on major projects. If lithium prices stabilise—or begin climbing again—the sector could quickly regain momentum.

Investors should expect ongoing volatility, but for those with a long-term outlook, Australia's leading lithium miners remain among the market's most closely watched growth stories.

Motley Fool contributor Marc Van Dinther has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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