Down 28% in a year, should I buy the dip on Resmed shares right now?

A leading analyst provides his outlook for the beaten-down ResMed share price.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ResMed Inc (ASX: RMD) shares are marching higher today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) sleep disorder treatment company closed on Friday trading for $27.64. In afternoon trade on Tuesday, following the Monday King's Birthday ASX trading holiday, shares are swapping hands for $27.91 apiece, up 1%.

For some context, the ASX 200 is down 0.3% at this same time.

Taking a step back, however, ResMed shares remain down 28.2% over the past 12 months, materially lagging the 0.2% one-year gains of the benchmark index.

Which brings us back to our headline question.

A man in a business suit scratches his head looking at a graph that started high then dips, then starts to go up again like a rollercoaster.

Image source: Getty Images

Resmed shares: Buy, hold, or sell?

MPC Markets' Mark Gardner recently analysed the outlook for the ASX healthcare stock (courtesy of The Bull).

"ResMed remains a high-quality respiratory care business," he noted.

Addressing the past year's selling pressure, Gardner noted:

Concerns about the impact of GLP-1 weight loss drugs have weighed on sentiment, although recent analysis suggests the big undiagnosed sleep apnoea market still provides a long runway for device demand.

He added:

The company continues to benefit from a strong mask and device portfolio, but investors were disappointed management left its fiscal year 2026 outlook unchanged after a solid third quarter result.

Connecting the dots, Gardner issued a hold recommendation on ResMed shares.

"Our hold recommendation balances the quality of the franchise against near term uncertainty around margins, competition and investor expectations," he concluded.

What's the latest from the ASX 200 healthcare share?

ResMed released the third-quarter results Gardner mentioned above on 1 May.

Highlights included revenue of US$1.43 billion. That was up 11% year on year, or up 8% in constant currency.

The quarter also saw ResMed achieve an operating cash flow of US$554 million, with US$262 million returned to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.

ResMed pays dividends on a quarterly basis.

"Our third quarter results reflect the continued strength of our global business, driven by ongoing demand for our market-leading products and disciplined execution of our strategy," ResMed CEO Mick Farrell said.

Farrell added:

These results highlight the momentum behind our strategy, and the continued progress we are making in shaping the future of sleep health, breathing health, and healthcare in the home.

As we advance through the remainder of our fiscal year 2026, we remain focused on expanding access to care globally, scaling our digital health capabilities, and delivering further strong, profitable growth.

Amid high expectations and potentially the lack of an FY 2026 outlook upgrade, ResMed shares closed down 7.6% on the day of the results release.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended ResMed. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Happy teen friends jumping in front of a wall.
Broker Notes

4 ASX shares tipped by brokers to return 63% to 125%

There is plenty of potential for growth ahead for these ASX shares.

Read more »

Three exuberant runners dash towards the camera. One raises her arms in triumph; another jumps in the air with arms raised. The third runner gives a satisfied smile.
Broker Notes

South32, Cochlear, Westpac shares: Buy, hold, or sell?

One of these ASX shares is tipped to fall around 10%.

Read more »

A mining worker clenches his fists celebrating success at sunset in the mine.
Broker Notes

Macquarie says this ASX uranium producer has more than 15% upside

A new mine design has impressed the broker.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Netwealth, Tabcorp, Healius shares

Let's check out some new ratings on ASX shares today.

Read more »

Doctor with stethoscope using a tablet in a hospital.
Broker Notes

What is this broker's view on Telix shares after yesterday's crash?

Here is the latest outlook from Bell Potter.

Read more »

Two happy and excited friends in euphoria holding a smartphone, after winning in a bet.
Broker Notes

Why this ASX 200 share could rise 80%

Bell Potter believes this share could deliver big returns over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Broker Notes

Morgans tips both of these ASX shares to rise 31%

Strong macro themes back a rise for both of these companies.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes and coins in a till.
Broker Notes

Should I buy Coles shares for passive income?

A leading expert provides his forecast for Coles outperforming shares.

Read more »