Why this ASX 200 energy stock is back in focus today

Ampol shares climb as margins jump and production lifts.

Ampol Ltd (ASX: ALD) shares are back in motion on Wednesday, pushing higher after a steady run into April.

The stock is up 4.43% to $33.01 in midday trade, adding to recent gains.

Over the past 12 months, the share price has climbed roughly 50%.

The stock had already been building momentum, and today's update has kept it going.

$50 dollar notes jammed in the fuel filler of a car.

Image source: Getty Images

Refining margins surge as trading conditions shift

According to the release, Ampol reported a Lytton Refiner Margin (LRM) of US$25.45 per barrel for the March quarter. That is up from US$6.07 a year earlier.

That jump reflects a clear shift in global refining conditions. Tighter product markets and shifting trade flows have lifted margins across the sector.

Production also improved during the quarter. Total output reached 1.434 billion litres, up 10% year-on-year after prior weather disruptions.

Sales volumes steady, but mix continues to evolve

Group sales volumes were broadly flat at 6,125 million litres. The detail underneath was more mixed.

Convenience retail volumes rose 3.5%, while wholesale volumes increased 5.2%. Both areas showed steady demand across the quarter.

Net sales volumes declined, reflecting differences in trading activity compared with last year. International volumes, including New Zealand, edged higher.

Overall demand has held up, even as pricing and supply conditions continue to shift.

Supply disruptions force operational adjustments

The broader backdrop has been shaped by disruption in the Middle East. Ampol said this has affected global oil markets and refined product flows into Australia.

The Lytton refinery processes a different crude slate, which has supported ongoing operations. That said, the company has taken steps to lock in additional supply.

This includes diesel and jet fuel imports through May and June. Agreements have also been put in place to support fuel availability.

Maintenance timing has been adjusted as well. Turnaround work on a key refinery unit has been pushed back to August.

Momentum carrying into the second quarter

Ampol expects stronger trading conditions to continue into the current quarter. The company has entered the period with a well-positioned trading book.

Refining margins remain elevated, although volatility in global markets continues. Crude pricing and supply flows remain key variables.

Consumer demand across Australia and New Zealand has held up despite cost pressures. That strength looks set to carry into the second quarter.

Foolish bottom line

The recent strength in Ampol shares is being backed by improving refining margins and steady demand.

However, much of that tailwind is tied to global conditions that can shift quickly. That leaves the share price exposed if refining margins begin to ease.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

Engineer in the oilfield wearing red helmet and work clothes, with pumpjack and wellhead in the background.
Energy Shares

Woodside Energy vs Ampol: Which ASX oil stock looks better this week?

Woodside Energy and Ampol both offer franked income, but one oil stock looks better value to me right now.

Read more »

An oil worker in front of a pumpjack using a tablet.
Broker Notes

2 ASX energy companies Macquarie says will outperform

There's still some value in the volatile energy sector, the broker says.

Read more »

Engineer at an underground mine and talking to a miner.
Broker Notes

Up 42% and paying a 7% dividend yield, should I buy New Hope shares today?

A leading expert delivers his outlook for New Hope’s outperforming shares.

Read more »

A man scratches his head in confusion.
Energy Shares

This ASX energy stock just crashed 12%. Here's what's gone wrong

Investors are heading for the exits.

Read more »

A woman wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks to the sky with her hand to her chin, contemplating buying ASX shares.
Energy Shares

Boss Energy vs Paladin Energy: Which ASX uranium stock wins?

Boss Energy and Paladin Energy are ASX uranium leaders. Here’s which I’d buy based on value, growth, and latest performance.

Read more »

A mining worker clenches his fists celebrating success at sunset in the mine.
Broker Notes

Macquarie says this ASX uranium producer has more than 15% upside

A new mine design has impressed the broker.

Read more »

A service station attendant crosses his arms and smiles towards the camera with a backdrop of petrol bowsers and a drive-through facility.
Energy Shares

Woodside vs Ampol: Which ASX energy stock should you buy?

Woodside and Ampol both offer franked dividends and momentum—so which ASX energy stock wins out on value and yield?

Read more »

Woman sitting on a chair by the pool on her laptop, looking at a stock market chart.
Energy Shares

Origin Energy vs AGL Energy: Which ASX dividend stock is better for income?

Origin and AGL are both strong dividend payers—but I think Origin has the edge for income investors right now.

Read more »