Forget Woodside shares, this ASX energy stock could rise over 70%

Let's see which energy stock Bell Potter is tipping as a buy this week.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) shares are a popular option in the energy sector.

However, with its shares rising strongly over the past 12 months, investors might find better returns elsewhere.

But where? Let's look at one ASX energy stock that Bell Potter is tipping as a buy.

Oil worker using a smartphone in front of an oil rig.

Image source: Getty Images

Which ASX energy stock is Bell Potter bullish on?

The stock Bell Potter is recommending to clients is Amplitude Energy Ltd (ASX: AEL).

It is an energy exploration and development company focused on conventional gas projects in southeast Australia.

Bell Potter was pleased with the energy stock's performance in the third quarter of FY 2026. It highlights that production and sales volumes were ahead of expectations. It said:

AEL reported March 2026 quarterly production of 6.9PJe (BP est. 6.7PJe), gas sales of 6.8PJe (BP est. 6.7PJe) and revenue of $74m (BP est. $81m). The Orbost Gas Plant continues to perform strongly (quarter average at nameplate of 68TJ/day) with trials above nameplate achieving a 7-day average of 71TJ/day. Otways field decline continued, though should benefit in future quarters from re-establishment of production at the Casino-4 well.

Realised prices were again higher at $10.74/GJ, with weaker spot gas prices offsetting contract prices which reset higher from 1 January 2026. The company noted that group production, with year-to-date averaging 75.7TJe/day, is tracking to the upper end of FY26 guidance (73-77TJe/day).

Big potential returns

In response to the update, Bell Potter has retained its buy rating and $2.70 price target on the ASX energy stock.

Based on its current share price of $1.58, this implies potential upside of 70% for investors over the next 12 months.

Commenting on its buy recommendation, the broker said:

AEL's conventional gas assets deliver into Australia's east coast market. Debottlenecking at Orbost should incrementally lift near-term production. AEL's realised prices should incrementally lift as new Gas Sales Agreements are signed.

Spot gas prices in peak seasons provide some upside. AEL's ESCP is fully funded and should lift group production from 2028, with the development of an existing discovery and at least one relatively low-risk exploration prospect. The ESCP utilises latent capacity in existing pipeline and processing infrastructure.

All in all, this could make it worth considering if you are looking for alternatives to Woodside shares right now.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

People sitting in rows in a meeting with one person holding their hand up as if to ask a question.
Energy Shares

ASM shareholders back Energy Fuels acquisition in decisive Scheme Meetings

ASM shareholders and optionholders have strongly backed the proposed acquisition by Energy Fuels at today's Scheme Meetings.

Read more »

Smiling man on his phone and laptop.
Energy Shares

Horizon Oil: FY26 production hits record high

Horizon Oil reported record FY26 production, strong revenues, and portfolio growth following its acquisition of Cue Energy Resources.

Read more »

Oil worker using a smartphone in front of an oil rig.
Energy Shares

Karoon Energy share price on watch: Who Dat East project gets green light

The Who Dat East development in the Gulf of America has been officially approved.

Read more »

Oil industry worker climbing up metal construction and smiling.
Energy Shares

Woodside vs Santos: Which ASX energy stock has made investors richer this year?

Find out which of the two oil and gas majors has had the biggest upside over the past 6 to…

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Why AGL shares are a top passive income buy today

A leading analyst expects AGL shares to deliver attractive passive income and capital growth.

Read more »

Red sell button on an Apple keyboard.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Whitehaven and Beach Energy shares

A leading analyst forecasts mounting headwinds for Whitehaven and Beach Energy shares. But why?

Read more »

Multiracial happy young people stacking hands outside - University students hugging in college campus - Youth community concept with guys and girls standing together supporting each other.
Energy Shares

Contact Energy FY26 earnings: Profits soar as renewables drive growth

Contact Energy’s full‑year profits jumped 28% as the company accelerates its renewable energy buildout and completes a major hydro acquisition.

Read more »

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Energy Shares

If I invest $10,000 in Woodside shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?

Woodside could be a particularly strong option for passive income.

Read more »