Why this ASX coal stock is sinking 9% today

Stanmore shares slide following the Middle East ceasefire.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Stanmore Resources Ltd (ASX: SMR) shares are heading lower on Friday, giving back recent gains as conditions across energy markets shift.

At the time of writing, the Stanmore share price is down 8.80% to $2.28. That leaves the stock roughly 14% lower over the past week.

The pullback follows a strong period earlier this year, when higher coal prices and supportive sentiment helped drive the shares higher.

Here's what is behind the move.

Coal miners look resigned to the end of mining this resource.

Image source: Getty Images

Ceasefire cools energy trade

The selling has been driven by a shift outside the company itself.

A ceasefire between the United States and Iran has reduced concerns about supply disruptions across global energy markets.

That change has seen money move out of energy stocks, including coal producers, as some of the recent risk premium fades.

Oil prices have already started to ease after trading near recent highs, pointing to a broader reset in the sector.

Coal prices have held up better, but listed producers are still getting caught in the same move.

Coal prices remain elevated over the year

Despite the recent pullback in the share price, the underlying commodity backdrop still looks relatively firm over a longer period.

According to Trading Economics, coking coal is still trading around US$226 per tonne in mid-April. That leaves prices modestly higher over the past month and up close to 19% over the past year.

Demand from steelmakers has also remained steady, particularly across Asia, where metallurgical coal is still widely used.

But it's the gap that stands out. Prices have held up, yet sentiment has shifted quickly, and that is driving the recent volatility in coal stocks.

Recent performance shows the shift

Over the past week, Stanmore shares have fallen close to 14%, giving back part of the gains built earlier in the year.

Even so, the stock remains up roughly 24% over the past 12 months.

The move has tracked what has been happening across energy markets. Oil prices have eased back toward US$93 per barrel as tensions in the Middle East cool, taking some momentum out of the trade.

Foolish bottom line

The ceasefire has taken some urgency from energy prices, and that has been enough to trigger selling after a strong run.

Coking coal prices are still holding up over the year, but the focus has shifted to what comes next for the sector.

Personally, I would stay on the sidelines here.

The stock is moving with macro headlines rather than company updates, and that can change very quickly.

There are cleaner opportunities elsewhere on the ASX where geopolitics is less likely to drive the share price.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

Two young African mine workers wearing protective wear are discussing coal quality while on site at a coal mine.
Energy Shares

Here is what this ASX stock's quarterly update tells investors about the coal market in 2026

New Hope Corporation delivered a strong Q3 FY 2026 update as coal prices surged.

Read more »

Person holding up a smartphone in front of a stock market chart.
Energy Shares

Contact Energy shares resume trading after 5% stake sale

Contact Energy shares resume trading as Infratil completes a 5% block sale at $9.25 per share.

Read more »

A coal miner smiling and holding a coal rock.
Energy Shares

Analysts are split over whether New Hope shares are a buy or a hold

A strong quarterly report notwithstanding, broker opinions are mixed.

Read more »

A male electricity worker in hard hat and high visibility vest stands underneath large electricity generation towers as he holds a laptop computer and gazes up at the high voltage wires overhead.
Financial Shares

Why is Infratil cashing out of its Contact Energy shares?

The deal will see Infratil earn almost NZ$500m after it sells 53.5 million Contact Energy shares.

Read more »

Happy man standing in front of an oil rig.
Energy Shares

$8,000 invested in Woodside shares in December is already worth…

The oil and gas giant’s shareholders would be jumping for joy right now.

Read more »

A businesswoman on the phone is shocked as she looks at her watch, she's running out of time.
Energy Shares

Santos shares smash 4-year high. Is it too late to buy?

Here's what upside analysts are tipping for Santos shares this year.

Read more »

Miner holding cash which represents dividends.
Energy Shares

Up about 80% this year, these ASX uranium stocks are still a buy

The price targets on these mining companies are worth a look.

Read more »

Copal miner standing in front of coal.
Energy Shares

Why it could be time to move on from this booming ASX energy stock

What is Bell Potter's updated view?

Read more »