What is Morgans saying about A2 Milk and these ASX shares?

Let's see what the broker is saying about these names.

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The team at Morgans has been busy running the rule over a number of ASX shares this week.

Three that the broker has been looking at are named below. Let's see if it is bullish on these:

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A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M)

Morgans was disappointed to see this infant formula company downgrade its guidance this week. However, it acknowledges that the reasons for the downgrade were out of A2 Milk's control.

And with concerns that the issues could linger, the broker has trimmed its forecasts. Nevertheless, due to share price weakness, Morgans has upgraded A2 Milk's shares to an accumulate rating with an $8.70 price target. It said:

A2M's FY26 earnings downgrade was due to factors largely out of its own control, being higher freight/supply chain costs associated with the conflict in the Middle East and delays getting product released (enhanced testing and customs clearance) following peer recalls. Importantly, the demand for its products is strong. Guidance has been revised due to supply constraints (lower sales and product mix issues dilute margins) and higher costs.

We have revised our forecasts. In our view, while some of the issues are one-off in nature, increased costs associated with the conflict are likely to continue into FY27. Despite this, we still expect strong growth in FY27 given A2 Pokeno is expected to break even and new China label (CL) IF products will be launched. Following material share price weakness, we upgrade to an ACCUMULATE recommendation with a new price target of A$8.70 (was A$9.50).

BMC Minerals Ltd (ASX: BMC)

Morgans notes that this mineral exploration company has received a major boost from authorities in Yukon, Canada.

This has de-risked the Kudz Ze Kayah Project, leaving it well-placed to benefit from strong precious metal prices. As a result, it has retained its speculative buy rating with an improved price target of $5.70. It said:

BMC has received a positive Decision Document from the Government of Yukon for development of the ABM deposit at the Kudz Ze Kayah (KZK) Project. This represents the key de-risking milestone for KZK, addressing what has historically been the primary development headwind.

We maintain our SPECULATIVE BUY rating and A$5.70ps price target (previously A$4.90), with the uplift driven by refreshed precious metals price assumptions and reduced permitting risk. The recent de-risking supports our assumption of future equity funding at 0.7x NAV (previously 0.6x NAV), resulting in lower dilution and a reduced forecast SOI.

Cleanaway Waste Management Ltd (ASX: CWY)

The broker highlights that this waste management company has downgraded its guidance due to negative impacts from the war in the Middle East.

While the broker has downgraded its forecasts to reflect this, it remains positive and has put a buy rating and $2.95 price target on its shares. It commented:

CWY has revised down its FY26 EBIT guidance as a result of the impacts of the war in the Middle East. We have updated our forecasts for the EBIT guidance downgrade and higher interest rate environment.

EBITDA downgrades are relatively small but EPS downgrades are material in the short term given the funding and depreciation costs of CWY's asset base. Target price $2.95/sh. BUY retained. Potential upside catalyst is next Tuesday's strategy briefing.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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