Buy, hold, sell: BHP, SEEK, and Treasury Wine shares

Morgans has given its verdict on these popular shares this week.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The team at Morgans has been working overtime looking at the countless results releases this week.

Let's see what the broker thinks of three very big results and whether it thinks these ASX 200 shares are now buys, holds, or sells. Here's what you need to know:

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.

Image source: Getty Images

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP)

Morgans was impressed with BHP's performance during the first half, noting that its copper business drove the strong result. But its main positive was the announcement of a silver stream for the Antamina operation.

However, due to its current valuation, the broker has held firm with its hold rating on BHP's shares. It said:

A strong copper-driven 1H26 result, but the highlight was a savvy deal monetising Antamina's silver stream for value equal to consensus valuation of the entire asset. Earnings quality continues to step forward, maintaining robust operational and cost performances across the portfolio. Injecting >US$6bn cash in H2 more than offsets Jansen. Maintain HOLD rating.

Seek Ltd (ASX: SEK)

This job listings company's half-year result was in line with expectations. And while the broker has AI disruption concerns, it believes the risk-reward is favourable at current levels and has upgraded Seek shares to a buy rating with a $27.50 price target. It said:

SEK's 1H26 result was largely as per expectations with net revenue (+12% on pcp), Adjusted EBITDA (+19% on pcp) and adjusted NPAT (+35% on pcp) all broadly in line with Visible Alpha consensus and MorgansF. We make only marginal adjustments to our forecasts taking into account the updated guidance.

Whilst our DCF-derived price target remains unchanged at A$27.50 the recent sharp share price pullback now results in ~70% TSR upside. We move to a Buy recommendation accordingly, though SEK has still many questions to answer on the AI threat.

Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE)

Wine giant Treasury Wine delivered a result that was in line with expectations but weak overall.

The broker isn't sure that 2027 will be much better and expects a return to growth in 2028. In light of this, it continues to rate the company's shares as a hold. It said:

TWE's 1H26 result was weak but was broadly in line with guidance. Leverage was well above the company's target range. Consequently, and in line with our expectations, the Board did not declare an interim dividend. TWE reiterated that 2H26 EBITS is expected to be higher than the 1H26. It is too early to call whether TWE can grow earnings in FY27.

We think this will not occur until FY28 given the priority to reduce customer inventory in the US and China. It will take time for new management to deliver more acceptable returns and for TWE to rebuild credibility with the market. We maintain a HOLD rating.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A happy male investor turns around on his chair to look at a friend while a laptop runs on his desk showing share price movements
Broker Notes

Ord Minnett names 2 ASX 200 shares to accumulate with 10% and 20% upside

Let's see what the broker is saying about these shares.

Read more »

a happy investor with a wide smile points to a graph that shows an upward trending share price
Resources Shares

2 ASX mining shares with 60% to 100% potential upside: experts

Brokers say these ASX mining shares should gain significant value over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face.
Broker Notes

Why this broker just boosted its Lynas share price valuation by 60%

Bell Potter has taken its sell rating off this high-flying stock.

Read more »

Man holding a tray of burritos, symbolising the Guzman share price.
Broker Notes

Down 44% in a year, why Guzman Y Gomez shares may have further to fall

A leading analyst forecasts more pain to come for Guzman Y Gomez shareholders.

Read more »

A woman wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks to the sky with her hand to her chin, contemplating buying ASX shares.
Broker Notes

2 ASX stocks to buy and 1 to sell

Two of these shares could deliver strong returns.

Read more »

A bearded man holds both arms up diagonally and points with his index fingers to the sky with a thrilled look on his face.
Broker Notes

Why Telix shares could smash the market in 2026 with an 80% return

Bell Potter sees potential for this stock to rocket over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Broker Notes

Morgans names 3 ASX shares to buy now

The broker is feeling bullish on these shares this week.

Read more »

Time to sell written on a clock.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Harvey Norman shares

A leading investment analyst forecasts mounting headwinds for Harvey Norman shares.

Read more »