Origin Energy posts $557m half-year profit and upgrades guidance

Origin Energy's half-year profit fell but improved guidance and steady dividends signal confidence in the outlook.

The Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG) share price is in focus today after the company posted a half-year statutory profit of $557 million and lifted guidance for its Energy Markets segment. Underlying profit came in at $593 million, while adjusted free cash flow rose to $705 million.

A male investor sits at his desk pondering at his laptop screen with a piece of paper in his hand.

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What did Origin Energy report?

  • Statutory profit of $557 million, down from $1,017 million in HY25
  • Underlying profit of $593 million, down from $924 million in HY25
  • Underlying EBITDA of $1,589 million, compared to $1,926 million in HY25
  • Adjusted free cash flow up to $705 million, from $518 million in HY25
  • Interim dividend of 30 cents per share, fully franked
  • Adjusted net debt/EBITDA ratio at 2.0x

What else do investors need to know?

Origin's Energy Markets business delivered strong underlying EBITDA of $860 million, up $122 million year on year, thanks to higher electricity gross profit and ongoing cost savings. Customer growth remains healthy, with 96,000 new accounts and churn well below the market average.

In the Integrated Gas segment, underlying EBITDA was $860 million, reflecting lower LNG prices and volumes at Australia Pacific LNG, but production remained steady at 339 PJ. Octopus Energy continued to grow international customer numbers, though the division posted an underlying EBITDA loss as investment ramped up.

What did Origin Energy management say?

Frank Calabria, Chief Executive Officer, said:

Origin's first half results are solid, allowing an upgrade to full-year guidance for Energy Markets. Retail performance continued to strengthen, grid-scale batteries added further portfolio flexibility, gas production was steady, and cost management remained disciplined as commodity prices softened.

What's next for Origin Energy?

Origin has upgraded its Energy Markets full-year underlying EBITDA guidance to between $1,550 million and $1,750 million, with electricity business performance driving the improvement. Cost to serve is also expected to improve, with management on track to achieve targeted savings by FY26.

Investment continues across battery storage, gas infrastructure, and digital platforms, aiming to support the energy transition and deliver steady returns. The company expects capital expenditure of $900–$1,100 million for the year, reflecting expanded investment in new battery projects.

Origin Energy share price snapshot

Over the past 12 months, Origin Energy shares have risen 8%, slightly outperforming the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) which has risen 6% over the same period.

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Motley Fool contributor Laura Stewart has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips. This article was prepared with the assistance of Large Language Model (LLM) tools for the initial summary of the company announcement. Any content assisted by AI is subject to our robust human-in-the-loop quality control framework, involving thorough review, substantial editing, and fact-checking by our experienced writers and editors holding appropriate credentials. The Motley Fool Australia stands behind the work of our editorial team and takes ultimate responsibility for the content published by The Motley Fool Australia.

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