Why Bell Potter just upgraded its valuation of this ASX gold stock by 39%

Bell Potter is a big fan of this gold miner and was impressed with its quarterly update.

| More on:
A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Fortunately in the current environment, there are lots of ASX gold stocks for Australian investors to choose from on the local share market.

One that Bell Potter thinks has just become an even stronger buy is named below. Let's see why the broker has just upgraded its valuation.

Which ASX gold stock?

The gold miner that Bell Potter is bullish on is Alkane Resources Ltd (ASX: ALK).

Following its merger with Mandalay Resources last year, the company owns the Costerfield gold-antimony mine in Victoria, the Björkdal gold mine in Sweden, and the Tomingley Gold Operation in Australia.

Bell Potter was very pleased with the ASX gold stock's performance in the second quarter, with its costs and production slightly better than expected. It said:

ALK released its December 2025 quarterly report, for which group production and costs tracked ahead [of] our forecasts and guidance. Group production was 43,633oz gold equivalent (Aueq) inclusive of 267t antimony (Sb) for the first full quarter of consolidated production from the merged ALK and Mandalay assets. This compared with our forecast of 41,291oz Au plus 227t Sb and guidance of ~42koz Aueq for the full quarter.

All-In-Sustaining-Costs (AISC) were A$2,739/oz, marginally below our forecast of A$2,780/oz and within guidance A$2,600-A$2,900/oz. Production improved at all assets, with higher grades a feature. AISC were well controlled and benefitted from a high by-product credit contribution on higher antimony prices.

Overall, the broker believes management deserve a lot of credit for this strong performance. It adds:

This is a very strong quarterly report and a great first full quarter of operations and integration for ALK. The improved operational performances across the asset portfolio through a period of change are a credit to ALK, from its mine operators to top level management.

Time to buy

According to the note, the broker has retained its buy rating on this ASX gold stock with an improved price target of $1.95 (from $1.40). Based on its current share price of $1.59, this implies potential upside of 23% for investors over the next 12 months.

This valuation upgrade has been driven largely by significant increases to its earnings per share (EPS) estimates to reflect higher gold price forecasts. It explains:

EPS changes in this report are: FY26: +37%; FY27: +69% and FY28: +58%, largely driven by our increased gold price forecasts. ALK offers multi-mine gold and antimony exposure, a strong balance sheet and platform focussed on organic and inorganic growth options. With this update our NPV-based target price increases 39%, to $1.95/sh,.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

Man putting golden coins on a board, representing multiple streams of income.
Gold

How high could shares in Newmont Corporation go?

Let's take a look.

Read more »

Rising price of gold represented by a share price chart and gold bars.
Gold

UBS raises gold price target to US$6,200 per ounce for this quarter

This implies a potential near-25% upside from where gold is trading today.

Read more »

A woman blowing gold glitter out of her hands with a joyous smile on her face.
Gold

This ASX mining stock is up 8% after eye-catching gold drilling update

Aeris shares jump after early gold drilling points to further upside at Golden Plateau.

Read more »

Engineer looking at mining trucks at a mine site.
Gold

Which gold miner's shares are surging on good exploration results?

A significant mine extension could be on the cards.

Read more »

Stock market chart in green with a rising arrow symbolising a rising share price.
Gold

Up 116% in 6 months, guess which ASX All Ords gold stock is rocketing again today on big US news

Investors are piling into this surging ASX All Ords gold stock again on Monday. But why?

Read more »

A wrecking ball swings through a wall of gold bricks, sending them flying.
Gold

Gold ETFs attracted a record US$19 billion in January

ASX gold ETFs recorded an inflow of US$202 million last month, bringing total investments to US$8.6 billion.

Read more »

A few gold nullets sit on an old-fashioned gold scale, representing ASX gold shares.
Gold

Gold price recovers as reasons for buying 'remain in place, but are also compounding'

Global precious metals manager, Sprott, says the case for gold is based on strengthening long-term trends.

Read more »

a woman wearing a sparkly strapless dress leans on a neat stack of six gold bars as she smiles and looks to the side as though she is very happy and protective of her stash. She also has gold fingernails and gold glitter pieces affixed to her cheeks.
Gold

Up more than 100% in a year, this gold stock could double again one broker says

A key approval process kicked off this week.

Read more »