ARB shares are crashing 15% today. What's spooking investors?

ARB shares slide 15% after a profit downgrade rattles investors.

| More on:
a man frustrated looking at the engine of his car

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Shares in ARB Corporation Ltd (ASX: ARB) are under heavy pressure on Tuesday after the 4WD accessories giant released a half-year trading update.

The ARB share price is down a sharp 14.89% to $27.50, extending a tough run for investors. The stock is now down roughly 30% over the past 12 months, pushing it back toward levels last seen in 2023.

So, what did the company say, and why has the market reacted so harshly?

Revenue slips despite export growth

ARB revealed that unaudited sales revenue for the six months to 31 December 2025 came in at $358 million, down 1% on the prior corresponding period (pcp).

The result reflected weaker domestic conditions, partially offset by strong growth offshore.

Australian aftermarket sales declined 1.7%, reflecting softer demand for key vehicle models and ongoing fitting capacity constraints. At the same time, OEM channel sales in Australia fell sharply, down 38.2%, largely due to the timing of OEM contracts and model releases.

That weakness was offset by continued momentum in international markets. Export sales increased 8.8%, with sales into the key US market up 26.1%, highlighting the growing importance of offshore demand to ARB's earnings mix.

Profit takes a hit

The bigger concern for investors sits at the earnings line, where margin pressure and softer domestic conditions weighed on results.

ARB expects to report underlying profit before tax of approximately $58 million for the half, representing a 16.3% decline compared with the prior year.

Management pointed to two key factors behind the drop. Gross margins were squeezed by a weaker Australian dollar against the Thai baht, increasing manufacturing costs. In addition, lower factory overhead recoveries followed elevated inventory levels in the pcp.

The company also flagged several one-off items during the half. These included a $1.3 million pre-tax gain on a property sale, partially offset by $2.2 million in goodwill impairment costs linked to the termination of the Thule distribution agreement.

Balance sheet still rock solid

Despite the profit downgrade, ARB's balance sheet remains a clear strength.

At 31 December 2025, the company held $59.4 million in cash and no debt, even after paying a 35-cent final dividend and a 50-cent special dividend during the period.

That balance sheet strength gives ARB flexibility as it navigates margin pressure and softer domestic conditions, while continuing to invest in offshore growth opportunities.

Is the sell-off overdone?

Today's reaction suggests the market is increasingly focused on earnings risk and the outlook for margin recovery in the near term. That concern is clearly understandable given the profit downgrade from management.

However, ARB remains a high-quality brand with growing export exposure, a debt-free balance sheet, and long-term leverage to global 4WD and off-road demand.

With the share price now well below its 2024 highs, investors will be watching closely when full half-year results are released on 24 February to see whether margins begin to stabilise.

For now, sentiment toward ARB has clearly turned negative, and the shares remain firmly in the penalty box.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended ARB Corporation. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended ARB Corporation. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Casino players throwing chips in the air.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Is it still game on for Light & Wonder shares?

The rally may have stalled, but brokers still see some upside for the ASX gaming stock.

Read more »

Woman chooses vegetables for dinner, smiling and looking at camera.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why Goldman Sachs expects Woolworths shares to leap 21%, plus dividends!

Goldman Sachs has a buy rating on Woolworths' resurgent shares. Let’s see why.

Read more »

A baby's eyes open wide in surprise as it sucks on a milk bottle.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Chinese birthrate punches a hole in the A2 Milk share price

This key market is looking challenging.

Read more »

Woman and 2 men conducting a wine tasting.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Can this ASX 200 stock recover after losing 51%?

Broker enthusiasm is going flat for the prestigious wine share.

Read more »

A customer and shopper at the checkout of a supermarket.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

5 reasons to buy Woolworths shares in 2026

With bad news largely priced in and earnings expected to rebound, Woolworths could be an appealing large-cap recovery story in…

Read more »

Man open mouthed looking shocked while holding betting slip
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Are The Lottery Corporation shares a buy, sell or hold at current levels?

A lack of jackpots might weigh on upcoming results.

Read more »

A jockey gets down low on a beautiful race horse as they flash past in a professional horse race with another competitor and horse a little further behind in the background.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Buyback news has this ASX All Ords gaming stock looking like a sure bet

The buyback will run in parallel to an M&A strategy.

Read more »

a man sits alone in his house with a dejected look on his face as he looks at a glass of red wine he is holding in his hand with an open bottle on the table in front of him.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Treasury Wine Estates shares drop 50%: Is there any upside left in 2026?

Find out what the analysts expect from the wine giant this year.

Read more »