Why this ASX 200 resources stock is off to a flying start in 2026

Brokers are warming up to the WA miner's rare earths strategy.

| More on:
Machinery at a mine site.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) resources stock caught a strong bid on Tuesday as investors piled back into anything even remotely tied to rare earths and critical minerals.

Iluka Resources Ltd (ASX: ILU) was one of the highflyers during Tuesday's trade, finishing 6.2% higher at $6.68. That brings the total gain in 2026 to 15.4%, while the ASX 200 resources stock has soared by 35% in the past 6 months.

Let's take a closer look.

Strategic rare earths player

This wasn't about quarterly numbers or a surprise announcement from the company itself. Global markets woke up bullish on the idea of building rare earths supply chains outside China. That optimism washed straight onto the ASX, and Iluka fits neatly into that picture.

While best known for mineral sands like zircon and titanium, the ASX 200 resources stock also owns a strategically important rare earths refinery project. One that suddenly looks a lot more valuable in a world scrambling for secure supply.

Iluka's strengths are clear. It controls some of the world's highest-quality mineral sands deposits, has deep processing expertise, and enjoys strong government backing for its rare earths strategy.

The ASX 200 miner operates major assets in Western and South Australia and owns the Sierra Rutile business in West Africa. Its next phase of growth is taking shape in Western Australia, where Iluka is building the Eneabba rare earths refinery.

From side hustle to growth engine

The project aims to position Australia as a reliable supplier of critical minerals to global markets and reduce reliance on China. If successful, the Eneabba refinery could reshape the company.

The ASX 200 resources stock would move beyond mineral sands into vertically integrated rare earths production. It would supply oxides used in electric vehicles, wind turbines, and advanced electronics. These are markets with strong long-term demand.

If demand for electric vehicles, defence technology, and clean energy infrastructure continues to accelerate, Iluka's exposure to critical inputs starts to look less like a side hustle and more like a growth engine.

However, risks remain. Mineral sands prices are cyclical and closely tied to global manufacturing conditions, with Chinese supply playing a major role. Recent production pauses underscore Iluka's exposure to demand swings. Eneabba is also capital-intensive and relies on securing long-term offtake agreements. Delays or cost overruns could pressure valuations.

What's next for Iluka shares?

There is also a dose of broker enthusiasm driving the current rally. Recent upgrades have reminded the market that the ASX resources stock combines solid cash flows today with leverage to a structural trend tomorrow. That's a rare and appealing mix in the resources space.

It's no surprise that analysts and investors are warming up to Iluka's rare earths strategy. That long-term optionality is powerful.

Most brokers see the ASX 200 resources stock as a buy or strong buy. They have a 12-month average price target at $7.44, which points to a potential gain of 11%.  

Motley Fool contributor Marc Van Dinther has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Resources Shares

South32 shares rocket 70% higher. Is it too late to buy?

Here's what analysts expect from the miner this year.

Read more »

Two workers working with a large copper coil in a factory.
Resources Shares

Capstone Copper shares in a slump despite good news out of Chile

Strike action has come to an end.

Read more »

A magnifying glass on wooden blocks spelling out bonds.
Resources Shares

Forget bonds, metals are now the 'essential hedges': experts

Global asset manager, Sprott, says the global debasement trade will keep pushing up demand for metals.

Read more »

asx share price fall represented by red downward arrow
Resources Shares

Silver's record run hits turbulence as prices slide 13%

Silver pulls back sharply after record highs as speculative positions unwind and volatility spikes.

Read more »

A brightly coloured graphic with a silver square showing the abbreviation Li and the word Lithium to represent lithium ASX shares such as Core Lithium with small coloured battery graphics surrounding
Resources Shares

Up 288% since April, are Mineral Resources shares still a good buy today?

A leading investment analyst offers his outlook for Mineral Resources shares.

Read more »

A miner stands in front of an excavator at a mine site.
Capital Raising

Why this ASX uranium miner's shares are frozen today

This ASX uranium miner is halted as the market waits for further clarity.

Read more »

Happy miner with his arms folded.
Resources Shares

$5,000 invested in BHP shares 5 years ago is now worth…

The difference is huge!

Read more »

A woman stands in a field and raises her arms to welcome a golden sunset.
Resources Shares

Why 2026 will be the year of ASX resources and commodities – Expert

Do you have exposure to these sectors?

Read more »