Why this ASX 200 resources stock is off to a flying start in 2026

Brokers are warming up to the WA miner's rare earths strategy.

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This S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) resources stock caught a strong bid on Tuesday as investors piled back into anything even remotely tied to rare earths and critical minerals.

Iluka Resources Ltd (ASX: ILU) was one of the highflyers during Tuesday's trade, finishing 6.2% higher at $6.68. That brings the total gain in 2026 to 15.4%, while the ASX 200 resources stock has soared by 35% in the past 6 months.

Let's take a closer look.

Strategic rare earths player

This wasn't about quarterly numbers or a surprise announcement from the company itself. Global markets woke up bullish on the idea of building rare earths supply chains outside China. That optimism washed straight onto the ASX, and Iluka fits neatly into that picture.

While best known for mineral sands like zircon and titanium, the ASX 200 resources stock also owns a strategically important rare earths refinery project. One that suddenly looks a lot more valuable in a world scrambling for secure supply.

Iluka's strengths are clear. It controls some of the world's highest-quality mineral sands deposits, has deep processing expertise, and enjoys strong government backing for its rare earths strategy.

The ASX 200 miner operates major assets in Western and South Australia and owns the Sierra Rutile business in West Africa. Its next phase of growth is taking shape in Western Australia, where Iluka is building the Eneabba rare earths refinery.

From side hustle to growth engine

The project aims to position Australia as a reliable supplier of critical minerals to global markets and reduce reliance on China. If successful, the Eneabba refinery could reshape the company.

The ASX 200 resources stock would move beyond mineral sands into vertically integrated rare earths production. It would supply oxides used in electric vehicles, wind turbines, and advanced electronics. These are markets with strong long-term demand.

If demand for electric vehicles, defence technology, and clean energy infrastructure continues to accelerate, Iluka's exposure to critical inputs starts to look less like a side hustle and more like a growth engine.

However, risks remain. Mineral sands prices are cyclical and closely tied to global manufacturing conditions, with Chinese supply playing a major role. Recent production pauses underscore Iluka's exposure to demand swings. Eneabba is also capital-intensive and relies on securing long-term offtake agreements. Delays or cost overruns could pressure valuations.

What's next for Iluka shares?

There is also a dose of broker enthusiasm driving the current rally. Recent upgrades have reminded the market that the ASX resources stock combines solid cash flows today with leverage to a structural trend tomorrow. That's a rare and appealing mix in the resources space.

It's no surprise that analysts and investors are warming up to Iluka's rare earths strategy. That long-term optionality is powerful.

Most brokers see the ASX 200 resources stock as a buy or strong buy. They have a 12-month average price target at $7.44, which points to a potential gain of 11%.  

Motley Fool contributor Marc Van Dinther has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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