Why Bell Potter thinks this materials stock can soar 37% higher

This copper miner is set to keep rising on the back of a key approval.

Key points
  • Aeris Resources Limited, an ASX materials stock, saw a 236% rise in 2025 with record global commodity prices, closing the year at $0.60.
  • Bell Potter highlights the recent granting of Development Consent for Aeris Resources' Constellation Project, paving the way for increased production at its Tritton Copper Mine in NSW.
  • The broker forecasts significant EPS growth through FY28 and raises the stock price target to $0.82, indicating a potential 37% upside due to expected higher copper prices and increased production.

Happy new year! 

As we all slowly get the wheels turning in 2026, brokers are also waking up from their holiday slumber.

Many are now providing a fresh outlook for the year ahead. 

One such company receiving new analysis is ASX materials stock Aeris Resources Ltd (ASX: AIS). 

The company is a precious metals explorer and producer. Its copper-dominant portfolio comprises four operating assets across four states. 

A boy is about to rocket from a copper-coloured field of hay into the sky.

Image source: Getty Images

How did this materials stock perform last year?

Like many copper shares, Aeris Resources enjoyed a stellar 2025 on the back of record global commodity prices.

At the beginning of 2025, this ASX materials stock was trading for just $0.18, and by the end of the calendar year, it had soared to $0.60. 

That's a 236% rise. 

But after such a stellar performance, Bell Potter believes the growth isn't finished. 

In a report from the broker last week, the broker reiterated its buy recommendation. 

Key approval

In Bell Potter's report, the broker said the company has been granted Development Consent for its Constellation Project by the NSW Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure. 

The broker said this is a major permitting milestone for Constellation. It de-risks its pathway to production and its objective of commencing mining operations from mid-CY26. 

The Development Consent is issued under the Environmental Planning and Assessment Act and includes the Environmental Impact Statement (EIS), representing the main hurdle for the operational plan and environmental and social impact approvals.

The broker said it anticipates this will boost production at 100% owned Tritton Copper Mine in NSW in 2HCY26. 

Furthermore, higher ore grades and tonnages should drive higher production and lower costs, improving margins and cash flows for the company.

Bell Potter believes combined with current production from other sites, the new site will reinforce its status as the largest Australian copper mine not owned by a major mining company. 

This will further leverage AIS' exposure to a rising copper price and it remains one of our key picks in the sector.

Broker tipping more upside

Bell Potter raised its EPS guidance in FY26: +27%, FY27: +41% and FY28: +57% on higher copper price forecasts.

It has increased its price target to $0.82 (previously $0.65), and from yesterday's closing price, this indicates an upside of 37%. 

AIS is a copper-dominant producer, with its near-term outlook highly leveraged to the copper price, increasing production at Tritton and gold production at Cracow.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Bell has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A woman draws on a clear screen a graph that shows a falling horizontal line.
Materials Shares

ASX lithium shares take a hit amid 20% fall in lithium price

The lithium carbonate price has fallen nearly 20% over the past month.

Read more »

Two colleagues working with company financial results.
Materials Shares

Zimplats: September 2026 quarterly earnings

Zimplats reports steady progress on major projects despite a dip in quarterly output.

Read more »

A couple cheers as they sit on their lounge looking at their laptop and reading about the rising Redbubble share price
Materials Shares

PLS Group is making a $1.9 billion bet on lithium. Should investors follow?

I take a closer look at what this expansion could mean for shareholders.

Read more »

a female steel worker wearing a high visibility vest with her protective helmet tucked under her arm smiles as she carries a clipboard in a large warehouse of steel products.
Materials Shares

BlueScope upgrades first-half FY2027 earnings guidance

BlueScope has upgraded its 1H FY2027 earnings guidance, with underlying EBIT now expected to approach $1.1 billion.

Read more »

A small child in a sandpit holds a handful of sand above his head and lets it trickle through his fingers.
Materials Shares

Why have Lynas Rare Earths crashed 42% in 6 months?

The shares are also down 7% for the year to date.

Read more »

Two business men looking at financial data, charts, and graphs on a digital tablet and a laptop computer.
Materials Shares

Alcoa posts higher net income, sets sights on AliGroup completion

Alcoa reported third quarter 2026 results, with higher net income and progress on the AliGroup acquisition.

Read more »

A woman sits in a cafe wearing a polka dotted shirt and holding a latte in one hand while reading something on a laptop that is sitting on the table in front of her
Materials Shares

Orora FY26 earnings: Cans strong, Glass under pressure

Orora's FY26 results show strength in Cans but ongoing challenges for Glass, including a substantial non-cash impairment.

Read more »

Three people at a building site discussing a plan whilst eating.
Materials Shares

Fletcher Building posts higher volumes in Q1 FY27, residential lags

Fletcher Building posted Q1 FY27 sales volume growth in several key business units, though residential activity stayed challenging.

Read more »