The A2 Milk Company lifts guidance for FY26 earnings

The A2 Milk Company has raised its FY26 revenue outlook on strong sales growth.

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Key points

  • The A2 Milk Company now anticipates low double-digit revenue growth and an EBITDA margin between 15% and 16% for FY26, with stronger 1H26 performance expected.
  • Improved guidance is driven by robust sales in Infant Milk Formula and other categories, with anticipated NPAT slightly above FY25’s $203 million and capital expenditure projected at $60 to $80 million.
  • The company plans to capitalise on market opportunities through innovation and brand strength, manage currency impacts, and maintain operational discipline to sustain shareholder growth.

The A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) share price is on watch after the company upgraded its FY26 revenue guidance, now expecting low double-digit revenue growth and a stable EBITDA margin.

What did The A2 Milk Company report?

  • FY26 revenue growth guidance has been raised to low double-digit percent versus FY25 (previously high single-digit).
  • 1H26 revenue growth expected to outpace 2H26, with stronger English label IMF performance.
  • EBITDA margin expected between 15% and 16%.
  • NPAT anticipated to be slightly up on FY25's reported $203 million.
  • Cash conversion forecast at 80% to 90%.
  • Capital expenditure projected at $60 to $80 million.

What else do investors need to know?

The company attributed its improved outlook to stronger than expected performance across Infant Milk Formula, Other Nutritionals, and Liquid Milk categories. Recent currency movements, particularly NZD weakness, are expected to boost reported sales and expenses, although the net effect on EBITDA (after hedge losses) should be minimal.

Depreciation and amortisation are forecast at $20 to $24 million, while lower market interest rates will likely reduce interest income. Capital investment is set to support ongoing growth initiatives and operational efficiencies.

What's next for The A2 Milk Company?

Looking ahead, A2 Milk expects first-half FY26 revenue growth to be stronger than the second half, driven in part by robust English label IMF sales. The business will continue to focus on innovation and brand strength in key international markets, while carefully managing currency exposures and capital investments.

Ongoing operational discipline and targeted marketing are likely to remain priorities as the company seeks to build on its momentum and deliver steady growth for shareholders.

The A2 Milk Company share price snapshot

Over the past 12 months, A2 Milk shares have risen 90%, significantly outperforming the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) which has risen 1% over the same period.

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Motley Fool contributor Laura Stewart has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips. This article was prepared with the assistance of Large Language Model (LLM) tools for the initial summary of the company announcement. Any content assisted by AI is subject to our robust human-in-the-loop quality control framework, involving thorough review, substantial editing, and fact-checking by our experienced writers and editors holding appropriate credentials. The Motley Fool Australia stands behind the work of our editorial team and takes ultimate responsibility for the content published by The Motley Fool Australia.

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