Why did Infratil shares fall 7% on Thursday?

The infrastructure investor delivered solid results, but investors appear focused on the outlook.

| More on:
Busy freeway and tollway at dusk

Image Source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Infratil shares fell 7% despite a 7% rise in EBITDAF.
  • Management have narrowed the full year profit guidance for group EBITDAF to NZ$960– NZ$1,000 million.
  • Current expectations are for a full year total dividend  of 20.9 cents,  implying a roughly 2% at current prices.

Shares in Infratil Ltd (ASX: IFT) fell around 7% on Thursday, even after the infrastructure investment company delivered a strong interim result for the six months ended 30 September 2025.

The share price decline likely reflects investor caution around tightening earnings guidance and higher capital expenditure forecasts.

What did Infratil report?

Infratil reported proportionate operational EBITDAF of NZ$514 million, up 7% on the prior year, driven by stronger earnings contributions from CDC Data Centres and Longroad Energy in the United States.

Net parent surplus came in at NZ$606 million, a major turnaround from last year's NZ$247 million loss, thanks to revaluation gains at CDC and the sale of its stake in Manawa Energy.

The group's total asset value climbed to NZ$19 billion, up NZ$735 million from March, supported by portfolio revaluations and selective acquisitions.

However, management slightly narrowed full-year guidance for group EBITDAF to NZ$960– NZ$1,000 million, reflecting the impact of recent divestments and adjustments to capital spending.

What did management say?

CEO Jason Boyes said the results demonstrate the company's ability to grow through "the noise of market and regulatory challenges," adding that Infratil's focus now is on simplifying the portfolio and recycling capital into higher-growth assets.

During the half, Infratil:

  • Announced the sale of Fortysouth and legacy property assets for $250 million, part of its $1 billion divestment target.
  • Increased its holding in Contact Energy Ltd (ASX: CEN) to 14.3% following the Manawa sale.
  • Confirmed plans to invest an additional A$250 million in CDC to accelerate capacity expansion in Australia

These moves underline the company's capital discipline but also raise near-term spending needs — a factor that may have unsettled investors today.

Steady dividend

Infratil declared an interim dividend of 7.25 cents per share, matching last year's payout, with a 2% discount on its dividend reinvestment plan. Management guided to a modest 2% increase in the final dividend later this year

At the current share price, this equates to a dividend yield of about 2%, which is relatively modest and perhaps another reason why income investors are sitting on the sidelines.

The bottom line

Infratil's half-year results show a business performing well operationally, with its renewable and digital assets continuing to deliver growth. But with a narrowing outlook, rising capital expenditure, and a rich valuation after a strong year, the market reaction suggests investors are pausing for breath.

For long-term investors, Infratil's diversified exposure to data centres, renewables, and critical infrastructure remains a powerful theme, even if the market's enthusiasm cooled today.

Motley Fool contributor Kevin Gandiya has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Gold

This ASX 300 gold stock is rocketing 27% amid takeover bidding war

This gold miner has received a new takeover offer.

Read more »

Two strong women battle it out in the boxing ring.
Opinions

Rio Tinto versus BHP shares: One I'd buy and one I'd sell

Here’s what to expect over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A man in a suit and glasses guffaws at his computer screen in bewilderment.
Share Market News

Perseus Mining launches superior offer for Predictive Discovery shares

Perseus Mining has offered to acquire all shares in Predictive Discovery, aiming to expand in African gold with a premium…

Read more »

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Broker Notes

Morgans gives its verdict on A2 Milk and these ASX shares

Is the broker bullish or bearish on these names?

Read more »

Close up of woman using calculator and laptop for calculating dividends.
Share Market News

Transurban announces 34c interim distribution and reaffirms FY26 guidance

Transurban declared a 34 cent interim distribution and confirmed FY26 guidance; here's what investors need to know.

Read more »

A male ASX 200 broker wearing a blue shirt and black tie holds one hand to his chin with the other arm crossed across his body as he watches stock prices on a digital screen while deep in thought
Share Market News

5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Wednesday

It looks set to be a decent session for Aussie investors today.

Read more »

Buy now written on a red key with a shopping trolley on an Apple keyboard.
Healthcare Shares

3 reasons to buy this $12 billion ASX 200 stock today

Market experts see 40% upside.

Read more »

Young lady in JB Hi-Fi electronics store checking out laptops for sale
Broker Notes

Does Macquarie rate Harvey Norman shares a buy, hold or sell?

The broker has downgraded its view on this consumer discretionary stock.

Read more »