There's still potentially money to be made trading this takeover target, despite a big surge in its shares

Shares in this takeover target are still trading well shy of the proposed offer price.

| More on:
Businesswoman holds hand out to shake.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • EQT has reconfirmed it is interested in buying out AUB Group.
  • An exclusivity period for a possible deal has been extended.
  • AUB shares are still trading well below the potential offer price.

Shares in AUB Group Ltd (ASX: AUB) have surged after the company confirmed it is still in talks with private equity firm EQT about a possible takeover. However, the stock is still trading well shy of the actual takeover offer price.

AUB was forced to update the market about the potential bid from Danish firm EQT late last month, after the Australian Financial Review broke the news that the two were in talks.

AUB informed the ASX at the time that discussions about a potential buyout commenced on September 13, when EQT initially offered $43 per share, which was subsequently increased to $45 per share.

The $45 potential offer was a massive 40.2% premium to AUB's previous closing price, and the stock naturally traded higher on the news.

There is no guarantee a formal bid will arise, however, and the stock has continued to trade at a discount to the offer price.

Negotiations continuing

On Friday, AUB released an update to the ASX, saying talks with EQT were ongoing.

As the Australian company said:

Under the terms of the confidentiality agreement, EQT was required to re-confirm its intention to proceed with the proposal to acquire AUB at $45.00 cash for each AUB share to retain exclusivity. EQT has provided such re-confirmation.

AUB said it had also extended the initial four-week exclusivity period by another two weeks, to 20 November.

The AUB Board notes that there is no guarantee that a binding agreement will be reached with EQT and therefore no certainty that the proposal will result in a transaction.

AUB shares traded as high as $40.28 early on Friday before settling back to be 9.3% higher at $39.99.

Positive development

Broker E&P Capital said in a note to clients that it was a positive development.

While EQT's re-confirmation of its intention to proceed with its $45 per share proposal doesn't guarantee it will enter into a binding agreement it does suggest it has not been overly concerned by the recent de-rating of insurance broking peers offshore or Steadfast Group's recent reduction in its premium rate growth expectations for FY26.

AUB is an S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) company comprised of a group of retail and wholesale insurance brokers and underwriting agencies, which operates in about 580 locations globally, according to its website.

The company was founded in 1985 and now serves approximately one million clients, managing over $11 billion in insurance premiums.

EQT is based in Denmark and, in its most recent quarterly report, stated that it had approximately €267 billion ($474.3 billion) in assets under management.

Motley Fool contributor Cameron England has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Aub Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Financial Shares

A doctor appears shocked as he looks through binoculars on a blue background.
Financial Shares

Up 286% in 5 years, why are investors paying 100x earnings for HUB24 shares?

Investors are paying for growth at scale, but the risks remain.

Read more »

Man standing with an umbrella over his head with a sad face whilst it rains.
Financial Shares

IAG share price drops 13 in a year: Buying opportunity or time to sell up?

Wild weather events appear to be denting investor confidence.

Read more »

A man wearing a suit and holding a colourful umbrella over his head purses his lips as though he has just found out some interesting news.
Financial Shares

Looking at the IAG share price? Here's how much this stock pays in dividends

Despite a rough year, 2025 saw IAG hike its dividends substantially.

Read more »

CEO of a company talking to her team.
Financial Shares

AMP shares sliding today on big leadership news

AMP shares are in the red amid a top-level leadership handover.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Financial Shares

A major change to the Djerriwarrh dividend is on the way

This fund has kept its dividend steady despite underperforming its benchmark.

Read more »

Stethoscope with a piggy bank in the middle.
Financial Shares

NIB share price up 22% in 12 months, but could face short-term weakness. Here's what investors should know

NIB shares have risen strongly over the past year, but recent weakness suggests momentum may be easing.

Read more »

A woman wearing a lifebuoy ring reaches up for help as an arm comes down to rescue her.
Financial Shares

Goldman Sachs tips 19% upside for Suncorp shares…plus dividends!

Goldman Sachs expects Suncorp shares to outperform in 2026.

Read more »

a woman sits in comtemplation with superimposed images of piles of gold coins, graphs and star-like lights above her head as though she is thinking about investment options.
Blue Chip Shares

If I invest $15,000 in Macquarie shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2026?

Is Macquarie a great option for dividend income?

Read more »