Are Westpac shares a buy following the bank's $7 billion FY25 profit result? Here's Macquarie's recommendation

Macquarie just updated its price target for Westpac shares. Here's why.

| More on:
Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Westpac shares have risen 0.5% today to $40.03, building on Monday's 2.8% gain following positive FY 2025 results.
  • Over the past 12 months, Westpac shares have gained 23.5%, outperforming the ASX 200 index's 8.8% gain, with a current fully franked trailing dividend yield of 3.8%.
  • Westpac's sale of its RAMS mortgage business may boost capital, but Macquarie maintains an underperform rating with concerns over valuation and future earnings potential.

Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) shares are marching higher today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) bank stock closed up 2.8% at $38.92 each yesterday following the release of the Westpac's FY 2025 results. In morning trade on Tuesday, shares are changing hands for $40.03 apiece, up 0.5%.

For some context, the ASX 200 is down 0.2% at this same time.

Taking a step back, Westpac shares have gained 23.5% over the past 12 months, significantly outpacing the 8.8% one-year gains delivered by the benchmark index.

And that's not including the $1.53 in fully franked dividends Westpac paid out (or declared) over this time. At the current share price, this sees Westpac stock trading on a fully franked dividend yield (partly trailing, partly pending) of 3.8%.

If you're looking to bag that final FY 2025 dividend payout of 77 cents per share, by the way, you'll need to own the ASX 200 bank stock at market close tomorrow, 5 November. Shares trade ex-dividend on Thursday. You can then expect to see that passive income payout hit your account on 19 December.

That is, of course, if you own or decide to buy Westpac shares.

Which brings us back to our headline question.

Are Westpac shares a buy following the full year results?

Highlights for the 12 months to 30 September included a 3% year on year lift in net interest income to $19.47 billion.

However, with operating expenses higher and slight erosion in the bank's net interest margin, Westpac's full year net profit after tax slipped 1% to $6.99 billion.

Potentially offering a boost to Westpac shares on Monday, the bank also announced that it had entered into an agreement to sell its $21.4 billion RAMS mortgage business to a consortium. The buyers group includes Pepper Money Ltd  (ASX: PPM), KKR, and PIMCO.

Commenting on the RAMS divestment, Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) said:

WBC have confirmed the sale of the RAMS portfolio to Pepper Money, which is expected to be completed by 2H26. The portfolio is currently $21.4bn (~3% of WBC's entire book). This is expected to release 20bps of capital. By the time of the sale, as the book is running off, WBC noted it will see very little drop-off in earnings as the revenues are largely offset by expenses.

While the broker noted Westpac's strong capital position and improving credit quality as positives, Macquarie kept an underperform rating on Westpac shares.

On the negative side of the ledger for FY 2026, Macquarie cited a weaker outlook for net interest margins, elevated expense guidance, and flat business earnings.

Connecting the dots, the broker concluded:

WBC remains expensive, trading at ~20x FY26E P/E (a ~25% premium to ANZ and ~4 standard deviations above its historical P/E rel). With execution risks around the UNITE program and emerging headwinds from lower rates, we continue to see risk to WBC's elevated multiple.

Macquarie raised its price target for Westpac shares to $32.00, up from the prior $31.50. That's more than 22% below current levels.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Broker Notes

Morgans says these ASX 200 shares offer 'significant upside'

Let's see which shares could be heading higher from here according to the broker.

Read more »

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Broker Notes

What does Macquarie think BHP shares are worth today?

Here’s Macquarie's take on BHP shares following the UK court’s Brazilian dam collapse ruling.

Read more »

A farmer uses a digital device in a green field.
Broker Notes

Elders shares tipped to climb 11% higher, outlook revised: Here's why

Analysts at Macquarie expect more growth ahead.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Broker says this ASX 200 share can rise 25% and pay a fully franked 5.8% dividend yield

Let's see which share is getting a big thumbs up from analysts at Bell Potter.

Read more »

Three happy office workers cheer as they read about good financial news on a laptop.
Broker Notes

Macquarie tips more than 20% upside for this ASX mining stock

Let's see why the broker is bullish on this stock.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: APA Group, Macquarie, and Rio Tinto shares

Are these shares buys, holds, or sells? Let's find out.

Read more »

Buy and sell on yellow paper with pins on them and several share price lines.
Broker Notes

Macquarie names 2 ASX All Ords stocks set to benefit and 1 likely to suffer following their upcoming AGMs

Macquarie expects very different market reactions following the upcoming AGMs for these ASX All Ords stocks.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »