Pilbara Minerals shares jump higher as JPMorgan tips 50% rise in lithium prices

On the charge.

| More on:
ASX lithium shares record A line-up of green lithium batteries, indicating positive share price movement for clean ASX lithium miners

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Renowned US investment bank JPMorgan has forecast a sharp rise in lithium prices. 
  • In turn, leading ASX lithium stocks enjoyed a strong rally during Thursday's session.
  • JPMorgan also upgraded its rating for Pilbara Minerals shares and two other ASX 200 lithium stocks.

Thursday was a strong day for ASX 200 lithium stocks.

Shares in leading lithium producer Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) lifted by 5.4% from Wednesday's close to end the day at $3.30 per share.

Fellow Western Australian lithium miner Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR) fared even better with its shares rocketing by 11.2% during the session.

However, it was Mineral Resources (ASX: MIN) that stole the spotlight.

Shares in this diversified miner ballooned by 13.7% on Thursday after announcing production records for the September quarter.

Notably, the company also reported a 31% increase in the selling prices for its lithium.

So, what sparked Thursday's eye-catching rally?

It appears that leading American investment bank JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE: JPM) may have played a part.

In a nutshell, the broker released a bullish research note on the lithium sector where it forecast a sharp rebound in prices.

Let's take a closer look at JPMorgan's viewpoint, as reported in the Financial Review.

Lithium prices set to rise?

JPMorgan appears upbeat on lithium's near-term future.

It upgraded its forecast for spodumene – the type of lithium mined in Australia – from US$800 per tonne to between US$1,100 and US$1,200 per tonne for 2026 and 2027.

Here, it cited growing demand for electric vehicles and higher expected production rates for large-scale battery storage.

JPMorgan's head of basic materials research, Lyndon Fagan, commented:

After what was looking like a soft few years ahead for lithium prices, energy storage battery shipments have shown massive growth year-to-date.

Fagan added that batteries are expected to account for about 30% of lithium demand in 2026, rising to 36% by the end of the decade.

In turn, the broker increased its long-term spodumene price forecast from US$1,100 per tonne to US$1,300 per tonne.

So what?

Stronger prices help drive revenue and margins for lithium miners, which can potentially lead to significant share price gains.

And JPMorgan has now upgraded its outlook for Pilbara Minerals shares from neutral to overweight.

As a sidenote, the company recently announced a 24% increase in the average realised selling price for its lithium product.

Overall, Pilbara Minerals shares have now increased by 119% in the past six months.

Meanwhile, JPMorgan also lifted its rating for Mineral Resources and Liontown shares to neutral – up from its most recent underweight classification.

Liontown shares have now soared by 116% in the past six months, with Mineral Resources shares rising by 134%.

For context, the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is up by 10% during the same period.

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Motley Fool contributor Bart Bogacz has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Three happy office workers cheer as they read about good financial news on a laptop.
Broker Notes

Macquarie tips more than 20% upside for this ASX mining stock

Let's see why the broker is bullish on this stock.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: APA Group, Macquarie, and Rio Tinto shares

Are these shares buys, holds, or sells? Let's find out.

Read more »

Buy and sell on yellow paper with pins on them and several share price lines.
Broker Notes

Macquarie names 2 ASX All Ords stocks set to benefit and 1 likely to suffer following their upcoming AGMs

Macquarie expects very different market reactions following the upcoming AGMs for these ASX All Ords stocks.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

A woman scratches her head in dismay as she looks at chaotic scene at a data centre
Broker Notes

Macquarie tips almost 90% upside for Xero shares

Xero is executing well on its strategy and should deliver exceptional returns, Macquarie says.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Should you buy Domino's, Orica, and Xero shares?

Morgans has given its verdict on these popular stocks.

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices.
Broker Notes

Leading broker names 1 ASX 200 share to buy and 1 to hold

Here's what the broker is saying about these shares.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »