Down 6.3% today. Are AMP shares a buy, hold, or sell?

Here's what Macquarie thinks of the stock.

| More on:
a group of people in business attire gather around a computer in an office environment with expressions of concern as they try to nut out the answer to a challenge they are facing.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The AMP share price dropped 6.28% to $1.79, with Macquarie maintaining a neutral rating but slightly raising the price target to $1.80 due to improved net flows in the Platforms division.
  • Macquarie sees a potential 0.6% upside, but highlights the need for clarity on AMP's bank strategy and technology platform advancements to become more bullish.
  • Macquarie highlighted a need for more information on AMP's strategic plans and noted the MyNorth Lifetime product on the platform increased to $579 million, suggesting positive momentum in selected areas.

The AMP Ltd (ASX: AMP) share price has plunged 6.28% to $1.79 per share. Over the year, the share price is 12.23% lower.

Today's share price drop follows AMP's third-quarter update, released yesterday morning. AMP announced that its total assets under management (AUM) increased 3.6% quarter-on-quarter, and its Platforms AUM jumped 4.5% to $86.9 billion. AMP also reported that its platform's net cash flows surged 61.6% over the period to $1.2 billion.

It wasn't all positive news, though. Although AMP's Superannuation & Investments business' AUM increased 3.4%, it also reported net cash outflows of $241 million.

AMP's New Zealand Wealth Management business recorded a 29% drop in net cash flows and steady AUM. The AMP Bank business' total loan book continued to be managed for value, leading to a modest 1.3% increase to $23.8 billion. AMP Bank's total deposits came in at $20.8 billion, up slightly from $20.5 billion in the second quarter.

Following the announcement, Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) issued a note to investors updating them on its stance regarding AMP shares.

Here's what the broker had to say.

What next for AMP shares?

Macquarie has confirmed its neutral rating on AMP shares. It has also raised its 12-month target price to $1.80 per share, up from $1.72 per share earlier this month.

At the time of writing, this represents a potential 0.6% upside for investors over the next 12 months.

"Valuation: We lift our 12-month price target by 5% to A$1.80, from A$1.72, based on a blended DCF/PE methodology," the broker said in its note.

"Neutral. To become more bullish, we need to see a live walk-through of the "best in class technology platform"."

What else did Macquarie have to say?

The broker's analysts noted that AMP's 3Q FY25 update highlighted an improvement in net flows in the Platforms division. But it also said that no comment was provided on net interest margin, as is normally the case when AMP issues a quarterly update.

Macquarie also made some other key observations about what was missing from the update.

"No comment was made about strategic plans for the Bank, and…AMP's MyNorth Lifetime product on the platform is now at $579m ($465m at 2Q25). Earnings changes: Raise earnings for FY25E/26E by 2.5%/6.4%, respectively, and by ~7% thereafter, to reflect stronger flows in platforms," Macquarie said.

Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Financial Shares

Two people shake hands making a deal about green energy.
Broker Notes

Does Macquarie rate AUB Group shares a buy after the deal fell through?

The AUB Group takeover deal is dead, but the business is very much alive, with Macquarie still seeing good value…

Read more »

Accountant woman counting an Australian money and using calculator for calculating dividend yield.
Financial Shares

Own AMP shares? Here's your financial calendar for 2026

Macquarie says the next catalyst for AMP shares will be the FY25 results on 12 February.

Read more »

Man putting in a coin in a coin jar with piles of coins next to it.
Financial Shares

This insurance company is a compelling buy, despite a takeover falling through, analysts say

This insurance company's shares are still looking like good buying, analysts say, despite takeover suitors walking away from a potential…

Read more »

Two children hold on tightly to books hugged against their chests, as if they were holding on to ASX shares for the long term.
Financial Shares

Own IAG shares? Here are the dividend dates for 2026

Mark these dates in your diary for the new year.

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Broker Notes

This ASX All Ords stock has more than doubled investors' money since January. Here's why it's tipped to surge another 45%!

A leading broker expects more outsized gains from this rocketing ASX All Ords stock. Let’s see why.

Read more »

Happy couple at Bank ATM machine.
Financial Shares

Forget CBA shares and check out this buy-rated ASX financial stock

One leading broker thinks that investors should be buying this growing company's shares.

Read more »

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Financial Shares

This insurance company has more than doubled its final dividend on record results

This Kiwi insurer has more than doubled its final dividend on record profit results.

Read more »

Ecstatic woman looking at her phone outside with her fist pumped.
Financial Shares

Why is everyone talking about Qube shares?

The shares are in the green again today.

Read more »