Expert tips gold price to reach US$5,000 as silver sets all-time record in precious metal rally

Building up steam.

| More on:
A woman in a business suit sits at her desk with gold bars in each hand while she kisses one bar with her eyes closed. Her desk has another three gold bars stacked in front of her. symbolising the rising Northern Star share price

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Precious metal prices have continued to run hard in October.
  • Both gold and silver have now reached record prices during the current month.
  • Some leading US investment banks are tipping this rally to continue into 2026.

Precious metals have been on a tear in recent months.

The gold price has notched up several records throughout 2025, including breaking the US$4,000 per ounce barrier for the first time ever at the start of October.

Overall, the price of the yellow metal has now surged by about 58% since the start of the year.

Analysts at Trading Economics attributed much of this recent rally to safe haven buying amidst the US government shutdown, geopolitical tensions, and the prospect of US interest rate cuts.

But gold isn't the only precious metal making waves.

This week, silver traded above US$52 per ounce for the very first time, smashing its previous record price set back in 1980.

All up, the silver price has now ballooned by nearly 80% since early January.

And according to some experts, the precious metal rally could just be warming up.

Is the gold and silver rally set to continue?

In a research note released on Monday, analysts at Bank of America Corp (NYSE: BAC) lifted their gold and silver price targets significantly.

As reported by Reuters, the bank now forecasts gold to average US$4,400 per ounce next year, with a peak of US$5,000 per ounce.

Here, it pointed to US economic uncertainty and the prospect of rate cuts as key catalysts, stating:

The White House's unorthodox policy framework should remain supportive for gold given fiscal deficits, rising debt, intentions to reduce the current account deficit/capital inflows, along with a push to cut rates with inflation around 3%.

Bank of America's outlook adds to another bullish forecast from fellow US investment bank, Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS).

Last week, the bank lifted its gold price forecast from US$4,300 to US$4,900 per ounce by the second quarter of next year.

It cited strong inflows from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) alongside sustained central bank buying for its reasoning.

Meanwhile, Bank of America is also tipping the silver price to reach as high as US$65 per ounce next year, with an average of US$56.25 per ounce.

However, it cautioned that a short-term correction is possible for both silver and gold prices.

ASX gold and silver ETFs shine bright

It comes as little surprise that two leading ASX ETFs for precious metal exposure have rallied sharply in recent months.

Shares in the Global X Physical Silver Structured (ASX: ETPMAG) ETF have jumped by 75% since early January to close out Tuesday at $76.27 per share.

This ETF is designed to generate returns that mirror the silver price in Australian dollars, minus management fees. 

Meanwhile, shares in its gold counterpart – the Global X Physical Gold Structured (ASX: GOLD) ETF – have jumped by about 52% during the same period.

Bank of America is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Motley Fool contributor Bart Bogacz has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

Teen standing in a city street smiling and throwing sparkling gold glitter into the air.
ETFs

$10,000 invested in GDX ETF a year ago is now worth…

Are you invested in the VanEck Gold Miners AUD ETF?

Read more »

A young male ASX investor raises his clenched fists in excitement because of rising ASX share prices today.
Gold

ASX gold shares go crazy as gold price rips toward US$5,000 on Friday

The gold price hit a new record of US$4,958 per ounce in early afternoon trading.

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Gold

Up 145% in 12 months: Why it isn't too late to buy Regis Resources shares

This gold miner's shares could still be good value. Here's what Bell Potter thinks.

Read more »

Overjoyed man celebrating success with yes gesture after getting some good news on mobile.
Gold

Bell Potter says this ASX 200 gold share is a buy with 18% upside

This gold miner could be heading even higher according to the broker.

Read more »

An ASX 200 share investor runs and leaps over rows and rows of blocks, as they topple in his wake.
Gold

After today's 8% plunge, is Northern Star now a buy for gold investors?

Northern Star shares are sliding nearly 9% after a softer guidance.

Read more »

ASX 200 investor looking worried about her investment and share prices.
Share Market News

ASX 200 drops as lower unemployment raises the risk of an interest rate hike

New jobs data has enhanced fears of an interest rate hike to quell resurgent inflation.

Read more »

a woman wearing a sparkly strapless dress leans on a neat stack of six gold bars as she smiles and looks to the side as though she is very happy and protective of her stash. She also has gold fingernails and gold glitter pieces affixed to her cheeks.
Gold

With gold up 71%, which is the best ASX gold ETF to buy?

Investors are spoilt for choice when it comes to gold.

Read more »

A shocked man sits at his desk looking at his laptop while talking on his mobile phone with declining arrows in the background representing falling ASX 200 shares today
Gold

Pantoro shares plunge 10% today. What just happened?

Pantoro shares fall sharply despite a strong quarterly result and solid cash balance.

Read more »