1 top ASX 200 stock to buy right now with $5,000

Analysts are positive on the stock and predict a strong upside over the next 12 months.

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Key points

  • Analysts see Xero as a top pick despite its recent volatility.
  • Xero's share price fell 1.7% to $154.79 and is down 20.25% since its June high, driven by investor concerns over its US$2.5 billion acquisition of Melio and its impact on cash flow.
  • Analysts remain optimistic, with Xero offering potential upsides between 32.4% and 62.1% over the next 12 months, supported by its strong market position and low subscriber churn.

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) closed 0.1% lower on Wednesday after a subdued hump-day session, with declines seen across many markets. Over the past year, the index has climbed 9.43% higher.

But if you have some spare cash burning a hole in your back pocket, the muted mid-week index performance could present a great buying opportunity for high-quality stocks.

If you have a spare $5,000, here's a great ASX 200 stock to place your money in.

Top Aussie stock to buy today

Much like the rest of the ASX 200 Index, the Xero Ltd (ASX: XRO) share price dropped 1.7% and closed at $154.79 per share on Wednesday.

In fact, the cloud-based technology company's shares have been through the ringer recently, experiencing strong peaks and dramatic falls.

The share price spiked to an all-time high of $19.21 in June, but has since crashed by 20.25%. 

What happened to the ASX 200 stock?

Xero posted lower-than-expected FY25 results in May and revealed a 23% (20% in constant currency) increase in operating revenue to NZ$2.1 billion.

Soon after, in July, the ASX 200 tech share announced the acquisition of US-based Melio, a small to medium business bill pay platform. 

The deal came with a huge US$2.5 billion price tag, and the company successfully raised A$1.85 billion via capital raising with institutions and retail investors. But investors were spooked about the deal size and projected cash flow.

The investor sell-off sparked the 20% drop in its share price between the deal's announcement and today's trading price.

What next for Xero shares?

The thing is, Xero is one of the leading technology companies on the ASX because it offers easy-to-use accounting software to business owners, accountants, and financial advisors. 

The software is referred to as "sticky", which means it has a very low subscriber churn rate. This means it has potential for strong and continued growth in what has become a large and constantly developing market.

Analysts are confident that Xero's current share price presents a good buying opportunity for investors seeking to invest in high-quality shares. 

According to TradingView data, 5 out of 8 analysts hold a buy or strong buy rating on the stock. The average target price for the shares over the next 12 months is $204.97, and the maximum is $250.88. That represents a potential upside of 32.4% to 62.1% for investors.

Analysts at Citi are one of the brokers with a buy rating and $210 target price on the shares. According to its analysts, Xero has "superior subscriber growth" and has offerings that could deliver key growth in the future. 

UBS is one of the brokers that like the company. It currently has a price target of $215 on Xero.

Citigroup is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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