Are these ASX energy shares buy low candidates?

Could these ASX energy shares bounceback?

| More on:
A person bounces another up high from a seesaw as the one in the air looks through a telescope into the future.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • ASX energy shares have underperformed this year, with the ASX 200 Energy Index down approximately 7.34%. 
  • Paladin Energy is rebounding despite a challenging FY25 and receives a buy recommendation from Bell Potter with a $9.00 target. 
  • Yancoal is now significantly below its 12-month high on the back of falling commodity prices. 

While much of the ASX has enjoyed a strong year, ASX energy shares have largely disappointed

They have been largely impacted by geopolitical turmoil, global economic uncertainty, and weak commodity prices — especially oil.

For context, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is up 7.65% in the past 12 months. 

Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Energy Index (ASX: XEJ) is down approximately 7.34%. 

However, with a long-term investing goal, it can be beneficial to look at some of these blue-chip or well-established stocks that might be undervalued. 

Here are two worth considering. 

Yancoal Australia Ltd (ASX: YAL)

Yancoal is the third largest ASX energy share by market capitalisation

It is a coal miner involved in identifying, developing, and operating coal-related projects in Australia. The company has a diversified mix of metallurgical and thermal coal mines. It owns, operates, or participates in 11 coal mines across NSW, Queensland, and Western Australia.

This ASX energy stock has fallen 7% over the last year. 

This included a single-day drop of 8% on Yancoal's half-year results released in August. 

In its report, Yancoal revealed it actually boosted coal production in H1 2025. However, revenue for the half year fell 15%.

This was caused by a decrease in global coal prices. Essentially, the bottom line has been hurt by low commodity prices, rather than operational shortcomings.

It closed yesterday at $5.38. 

It now sits significantly below its 12-month high of $6.79, and price guidance from brokers suggests it could be a buy low candidate. 

Bell Potter currently has an overweight recommendation and price target of $6.77. 

Paladin Energy Ltd (ASX: PDN)

Paladin Energy is also a major player amongst ASX energy shares. It is the 6th largest by market cap. 

The company engages in the development and operation of uranium mines in Namibia and Australia. 

It is down 18.33% over the last 12 months but has risen significantly in the last month. 

It closed yesterday at $8.69 per share. 

Bell Potter believes it can continue to bounce back, with a buy recommendation and a price target of $9.00. 

The broker said FY25 (PDN's first full year of production) was marred by operational setbacks (stockpile issues + too little and then too much water). 

Despite this, 4Q performance was strong, with management expecting a continuation through 1HFY26 prior to full mining operations commencing in 2HFY26. 

We continue to expect near-term volatility within early reporting periods as PDN optimises blending strategies and navigates contract mix/ payment timing at LHM. Predictability should improve as LHM reaches steady state production (FY27).

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Bell has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

Smiling oil worker in front of a pumpjack.
Energy Shares

Is the Santos share price too cheap to ignore?

Is this one of the best value ASX 200 businesses around?

Read more »

ASX uranium shares represented by yellow barrels of uranium
Energy Shares

Why uranium is gaining momentum as 2026 gets underway

Uranium prices are rising again as demand strengthens and supply remains tight entering early 2026.

Read more »

An oil refinery worker stands in front of an oil rig with his arms crossed and a smile on his face as the Woodside share price climbs today
Energy Shares

Is the Woodside share price an opportunity too good to pass up?

This energy business has gotten cheaper. Is it the right time to buy?

Read more »

A woman looks unsure as she ladles mixture into a pan surrounded by small appliances
Energy Shares

Natural gas prices have fallen 22% in a month. Here's what is driving the drop

Natural gas prices have slid 22% in a month as weak demand and strong supply pressure markets.

Read more »

Two people jump in the air in a fighting stance, indicating a battle between rival ASX shares.
Energy Shares

AGL Energy versus Origin Energy shares: Which is a better buy for 2026?

Here’s my pick between the two ASX energy stocks.

Read more »

A woman throws her hands in the air in celebration as confetti floats down around her, standing in front of a deep yellow wall.
Energy Shares

Bell Potter names the best ASX uranium stocks to buy now

The broker has given its verdict on these three stocks

Read more »

a man in a business suit looks at a map of the world above a line up of oil barrels with a red arrow heading upwards above them, indicting rising oil prices.
Energy Shares

After 5 days of straight gains, is oil setting up for its next move?

Oil prices pause after a 5-day rally as markets weigh geopolitical risks and global supply pressures.

Read more »

Smiling worker in an oil field.
Energy Shares

Woodside shares lift today. Is the worst behind this ASX energy giant?

Woodside shares are rising today after a tough year as investors watch oil prices and technical signals.

Read more »