Growth alert: Seek shares storm 15% higher, Macquarie predicts robust upside ahead

Over the past 12 months, the Seek share price has risen 19.62%.

| More on:
Excited group of friends sitting on sofa watching sports on TV and celebrating.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Seek Ltd (ASX: SEK) share price is trading in the green at lunchtime today. At the time of writing, shares are up 0.51% to $27.43 a piece.

The online employment marketplace has experienced a surge of growth over the past month, with the share price climbing 15.5% in August and 19.62% over the year.

What pushed up the share price?

Seek shares were boosted by the company's robust FY25 financial results on 19 August. The business posted a 1% increase in net revenue, but EBITDA slipped 2%.

Seek's full-year dividend jumped 31% higher to 46 cents per share, fully franked.

Going forward, the company said it expects FY26 revenue of $1.15 billion to $1.25 billion, with adjusted profit guidance of $190 million to $220 million.

Clearly, investors were pleased with the results because by the end of the day, Seek shares had risen 8%, and the share price continued rising another 3.4% over the following 48 hours.

And it doesn't look like the rally is over yet. Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) sees even more upside ahead over the next 12 months.

Seek shares could storm even higher

In a recent investor note, the broker confirmed its outperform rating on the stock and hiked its target price to $32.50 a piece, up from $27 previously. 

At the time of writing, that represents a robust potential upside of 18.5% for investors over the next 12 months.

The broker noted that the Seek employment report for July 2025 indicated that Australian job ad volumes were flat sequentially or down 5% year on year, but volume declines moderated since June 2023. 

Employment volumes are down 6% year on year, or 7% on a rolling 3-month and 6-month basis.

Macquarie also noted that applications per ad in June were 210, which has been flat since March 2025, albeit at record levels. Applications are 78% above the 10-year average.

"For Seek, actual volume growth tends to correlate with growth within this report, but with some adjustments, mostly around the weighting of Australian and New Zealand volumes (MQe = 90% / 10% skew). The report has also moved from seasonally adjusted to trend series data, which smooths month-to-month volatility," the broker said in its note.

Going forward, Macquarie said it expects ANZ job ad volumes to continue stabilising. Based on current trends, the broker expects it should return to growth in H2 FY26.

"Our forecast for flat FY26 volumes is in line with Seek's guidance, but we see upside to estimates given 1) soft FY25 comparables, 2) rate cuts (report link), 3) a tight labour market, and 4) higher demand for new products.

"Seek remains our top classifieds pick with a view that FY26E ANZ guidance is conservative across both volume and yields, and there is high drop-through to earnings, with platform unification."

Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

man with dog on his lap looking at his phone in his home.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Two workers at an oil rig discuss operations.
Broker Notes

Should you buy Santos, Beach Energy or Woodside shares? Here's Macquarie's top pick

Macquarie has released its new share price expectations for Santos, Beach Energy and Woodside shares.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

person holding hat
Broker Notes

3 ASX 200 large-cap shares just re-rated by analysts

We reveal the latest views on an ASX 200 large-cap miner, retailer, and consumer staples leader.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Down 80% in 2025: Is it time to buy this beaten down ASX stock?

Let's see what Bell Potter is saying about this stock after its heavy decline.

Read more »

A white and black robot in the form of a human being stands in front of a green graphic holding a laptop and discussing robotics and automation ASX shares
Broker Notes

NextDC shares jump 11% on major OpenAI deal

This data centre operator will be home to the AI giant in Australia.

Read more »

A large clear wine glass on the left of the image filled with fifty dollar notes on a timber table with a wine cellar or cabinet with bottles in the background.
Broker Notes

Macquarie names 3 top dividend-paying ASX 200 shares to buy today

Macquarie expects these three dividend paying ASX 200 shares to outperform in 2026. Let’s see why.

Read more »

Confident male executive dressed in a dark blue suit leans against a doorway with his arms crossed in the corporate office
Broker Notes

Broker reveals ratings on 4 ASX 200 sector leaders

Prefer ASX 200 large-cap stocks? Here are some new ratings and price targets for four sector leaders.

Read more »