This ASX 300 share could offer 20%+ upside and a 5% dividend yield

Big returns could be on offer from this top stock according to Bell Potter.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you are looking for a combination of major upside potential and a generous dividend yield, then look no further than the ASX 300 share in this article.

That's because the team at Bell Potter believes this share will deliver on both for investors over the next 12 months.

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face.

Image source: Getty Images

Which ASX 300 share?

The share that is being tipped for big things is Accent Group Ltd (ASX: AX1).

It is a footwear and sports clothing retailer and wholesaler which owns and operates a number of popular brands in the performance, comfort and active lifestyle sectors.

This includes The Athlete's Foot Australia, Platypus, Stylerunner, Skechers, Hoka, Nude Lucy, Hype DC, and Glue Store.

What is the broker saying?

It is fair to say that the last 12 months have been difficult for Accent and its brands. Rising interest rates have put pressure on consumer spending and ultimately on the ASX 300 share's sales and margins.

However, with interest rates on a downward trajectory, Bell Potter thinks that now could be a good time to snap up shares.

It highlights that Accent has started the new financial year in a positive fashion, with sales up during the first seven weeks of FY 2026. It also notes that management is guiding to solid EBIT growth for the year. The broker said:

Accent Group (AX1)'s FY25 recurring EBIT of ~$110m (excl. $3.3m one-off cost benefits) was above the mid-point of the pre-guided range. The first 7 weeks of FY26 trading returned to positive growth with total sales +2% on pcp and like-for-like retail sales +0.8% on pcp (vs +3.5% in the pcp), reversing from -1.7% in 2H25.

AX1 provided FY26 EBIT guidance of high single digit growth as the company set up operations ahead of the first Sports Direct store opening in Nov-25 at Fountain Gate, VIC. The stock position also came in higher than BPe to support new stock purchases, The Athlete's Foot reacquisition and related to Frasers (FRAS) strategic partnership.

Big returns

According to the note, Bell Potter has reaffirmed its buy rating on the ASX 300 share with a trimmed price target of $1.80 (from $1.90).

Based on the current Accent share price of $1.49, this implies potential upside of approximately 21% for investors over the next 12 months.

In addition, it is forecasting fully franked dividends of 7.8 cents per share in FY 2026 and then 9.2 cents per share in FY 2027. This equates to dividend yields of 5.2% and 6.2%, respectively.

Commenting on its buy recommendation, Bell Potter said:

In the near term, we expect monetary policy catalysts to drive recovery in the lifestyle segment from 2Q26e, while in the medium-long term, we see a higher growth focus for AX1 leveraging the outperforming sports segment via dominant global partner and key shareholder, FRAS.

With the first Sports Direct store opening in mid-November, we anticipate the unlocking of the sizable store roll-out opportunity for the banner in Australia (50-store target over 6 years), while benefiting from a higher relevance to leading brand partners such as Nike backed by FRAS.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Accent Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Accent Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

ASX 200 shares broker downgrade origami paper fortune teller with buy hold sell and dollar sign options
Broker Notes

Up 155% since April, is it too late to buy Megaport shares today?

A leading analyst delivers his forecast for Megaport’s outperforming shares.

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Broker Notes

Macquarie tips these 3 ASX stocks to return better than 45%

Recent updates have the broker optimistic about these companies.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Broker Notes

Leading broker on DroneShield shares and rising competition 

Bell Potter has been running the rule over this popular stock.

Read more »

A young female investor sits in her home office looking at her ipad and smiling as she sees the QBE share price rising
Broker Notes

Why Morgans rates these ASX shares as buys this week

Fresh company updates have given Morgans three very different reasons to remain bullish.

Read more »

A person leans over to whisper a secret to a colleague during a meeting.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Cleanaway Waste Management, Aurizon, James Hardie shares

Let's check out some new ratings on three ASX shares.

Read more »

Concept image of a businessman riding a bull on an upwards arrow.
Broker Notes

Up 1,250% in a year, why 4DMedical shares can keep charging higher

A top analyst forecasts more outperformance from the surging shares.

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter is tipping these 3 ASX materials stocks to return better than 100% each

These undervalued companies could be worth a look.

Read more »

A wine technician in overalls holds a glass of red wine up to the light and studies it.
Broker Notes

Down 39%, are Treasury Wine shares now a bargain buy?

Two top analysts deliver their verdicts on Treasury Wine’s beaten down shares.

Read more »