Why now could be an opportune time to sell CBA shares

A leading expert offers his verdict on the outlook for CBA shares.

| More on:
A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) shares are marching higher today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) bank stock closed yesterday trading for $172.42. At the time of writing, shares are swapping hands for $173.48 apiece, up 0.61%.

While that's down from the all-time closing highs of $191.40 a share, posted on 25 June, CBA shares remain up an impressive 30% since this time last year.

And that's not including the two fully franked dividends, totalling $4.75 a share, that CommBank paid eligible investors over the 12 months.

But on the heels of this strong run, Catapult Wealth's Dylan Evans believes now is an opportune time to take profits from Australia's biggest bank, which also counts as the biggest stock on the ASX (courtesy of The Bull).

Should I sell my CBA shares today?

"CBA has performed exceptionally well for investors," said Evans, who has a sell recommendation on CBA shares.

Evans noted:

The company posted an unaudited cash net profit after tax of $2.6 billion in the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, up 6% on the prior corresponding period. The share price has risen from $132.66 on July 18, 2024, to trade at $179.30 on July 17, 2025. The shares closed at $191.40 on June 25, 2025.

Despite that strength, Evans cited concerns about the growing premium CommBank stock trades on relative to its peers.

"CBA is unquestionably a quality business, but the valuation, in our view, still appears stretched," he said.

Evans added:

CBA now trades at more than twice the price/earnings ratio of competitor ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ). CBA was recently trading on a modest annual dividend yield of 2.67%. Other stocks offer better value, in our view, given CBA's lofty share price.

Indeed, CBA trades on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 31 times. That compares to a P/E ratio of around 14 times for ANZ shares.

And as Evans points out, despite CBA upping both its interim and final dividends this past year, the stock's dividend yield has slipped amid the fast-rising share price, diminishing the appeal of CBA shares for passive income investors.

What are the consensus analyst expectations for CommBank stock?

Evans isn't alone in his sell recommendation. Consensus analyst recommendations on CommSec show no buy recommendations, with one hold, four moderate sell, and 10 strong sell recommendations.

Sage Capital portfolio manager Sean Fenton, whose fund took a hit from its prior short position on CBA shares, still believes Australia's biggest bank is due for a pullback (courtesy of The Australian Financial Review).

According to Fenton:

We see the share price of CBA as unsustainable in the long run given the lack of earnings growth… We're acutely aware there is a long list of other fund managers, and even super funds, waiting for a potential turning point.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Bank building in a financial district.
Bank Shares

Why is everyone talking about NAB shares on Friday?

NAB shares are grabbing ASX investor interest today. But why?

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Down 20% since November, are Bendigo Bank shares now a buy?

A leading investment expert delivers his outlook for Bendigo Bank shares.

Read more »

Woman holding $50 and $20 notes.
Bank Shares

$5,000 invested in Westpac shares at the start of 2025 is now worth….

The big 4 bank's shares have tumbled over the past month.

Read more »

Woman with money on the table and looking upwards.
Bank Shares

The CBA share price has fallen 19% since June, is it a buy?

Is this the right time to invest in the bank?

Read more »

Three small children reach up to hold a toy rocket high above their heads in a green field with a blue sky above them.
Bank Shares

Up 22% in a year! The red-hot ANZ share price is smashing CBA, Westpac and NAB shares

Why has the ANZ share price risen so much this year?

Read more »

Model house with coins and a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Is the NAB share price a buy for passive income?

Is this big bank a major dividend opportunity for income-focused investors?

Read more »

A woman wearing a flowing red dress, poses dramatically on a beach with the sea in the background.
Bank Shares

Own Westpac shares? Here are the dividend dates for 2026

Westpac shares paid 153 cents per share in dividends in 2025 and are tipped to pay 155 cents in 2026.

Read more »

Man putting in a coin in a coin jar with piles of coins next to it.
Bank Shares

This bank's shares could deliver double-digit returns analysts say

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank's major deal announced this week makes strategic sense, the team at Jarden says.

Read more »