Sell alert! Why this analyst is calling time on ANZ shares

A leading analyst foresees headwinds ahead for ANZ shares. But why?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) shares have delivered the best 12-month gains of any of the big four S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) bank stocks.

On Tuesday, ANZ stock closed up 1.05%, trading for $36.59 a share.

That sees shares in the ASX 200 bank stock up 21.24% since this time last year.

Atop those capital gains, ANZ shares also trade on a 4.5% trailing dividend yield, franked at 70%.

That sees ANZ surpassing the second-best-performing big four bank, Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC). Westpac shares have gained 18% over 12 months. And on the passive income front, Westpac shares trade on a fully-franked trailing dividend yield of 3.9%.

National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) shares come in a distant third, up 8.83% over 12 months. NAB shares trade on a fully-franked trailing dividend yield of 4%.

Which brings us to the laggard, Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA). After leading the pack in 2024 and the first half of 2025, shares in Australia's biggest bank have come under pressure. CBA shares are now down 5.41% since this time last year. CBA shares trade on a fully-franked trailing dividend yield of 3.2%.

But with ANZ shares having delivered the best 12-month gains among the big four Aussie banks, and trading at the highest dividend yield, Sanlam Private Wealth's Remo Greco believes now is an opportune time to take some profits off the table (courtesy of The Bull).

Time to sell written on a clock.

Image source: Getty Images

Time to sell ANZ shares?

"Investors responded positively after the bank unveiled its 2030 strategy in late 2025," said Greco, who has a sell rating on ANZ shares. "The shares rose from $32.67 on September 24, 2025 to close at $38.85 on November 12."

ANZ released its 2030 strategy update on 13 October.

"Under our new strategy, customers are at the centre of everything we do – whether it's improving their experiences, offering them leading technologies and platforms, or keeping them safe," ANZ CEO Nuno Matos said on the day.

"Given ANZ was the cheapest major bank in the sector with the highest yield, the bounce was understandable. The shares were trading at $36.34 on January 22, 2026," Greco noted.

According to Greco:

The 2030 strategy included ceasing the $800 million share buy-back and accelerating delivery of the ANZ Plus digital front end to all retail and business customers. Reducing duplication and simplifying the bank is part of the plan.

Explaining his sell rating on ANZ shares, Greco concluded, "We believe the ANZ is trading at a premium given the early stages of an ambitious strategy. We would be inclined to lock in some profits at these levels."

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Bank building with the word bank in gold.
Bank Shares

Is the CBA share price a buy for its 4.5% dividend yield?

Is the Commonwealth Bank dividend yield now too good to ignore?

Read more »

Worried woman calculating domestic bills.
Bank Shares

Which big four ASX bank stock is the best buy right now?

There is mixed sentiment around bank shares right now.

Read more »

Woman holding $50 notes with a delighted face.
Bank Shares

Buying Westpac shares? Here's the yield you'll get today

Westpac's yield looks pretty fat right now...

Read more »

Bank building with the word bank in gold.
Bank Shares

Why is the Macquarie share price falling today?

Macquarie shares are in the red but significantly outperforming the ASX 200 on Monday.

Read more »

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Bank Shares

Down 17%: Are Westpac shares cheap?

What are analysts at Ord Minnett saying about the big four bank? Let's find out.

Read more »

A woman has a thoughtful look on her face as she studies a fan of Australian 20 dollar bills she is holding on one hand while he rest her other hand on her chin in thought.
Bank Shares

If I invest $10,000 in NAB shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?

Can NAB's high yield hold up?

Read more »

A stressed businessman sits next to his briefcase with his head in his hands, while the ASX boards behind him show shares crashing.
Bank Shares

How low could CBA shares go? 4 brokers have their say

There's more pain on the horizon if the analysts are right.

Read more »

A man looks down with fright as he falls towards the ground.
Broker Notes

Down 9% this week, are CBA shares entering 'a major correction cycle'?

After this week's historic share price crash, what’s next for CBA shares?

Read more »