ASX 200 financial services rivalry: Should I buy Hub24 or Netwealth shares?

Let's compare the pair.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The ASX 200 financial services space has become increasingly competitive. 

With the majority of experts warning that the big four banks are overvalued, Australian investors may be looking at other financial services stocks to gain exposure to the financial sector. 

Over the past few years, the competition between HUB24 Ltd (ASX: HUB) and Netwealth Group Ltd (ASX: NWL) has heated up. 

Hub24 and Netwealth operate investment platforms that help financial advisers manage client portfolios. The two ASX 200 financial services companies consistently rank #1 and #2 for platform functionality. Both ASX 200 platforms have captured similar market share and have attracted similar net inflows. 

Each company has advantages over the other. HUB24 is recognised as being more innovative, while Netwealth is known for its strong profitability and efficient operations. 

Netwealth and Hub24 have been among the best-performing ASX 200 stocks recently. 

Over the past 12 months, Netwealth has risen 59%, while Hub24 has almost doubled that performance, climbing 123%.

Over a 5-year horizon, Netwealth is up 210%, while Hub24 has soared 715%.

But, which is the better investment today?

man analysing share price

Image source: Getty Images

Hub24 vs Netwealth

There's no doubt both companies have a long runway of growth ahead of them.

They've been expanding their funds under administration (FUM) at a rapid pace, and it's likely they can continue doing this for years to come. 

It may be hard for investors to choose between Netwealth and Hub24 shares. 

So, what do the experts have to say?

An expert's view

On 15 July, Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) released two separate research notes covering its views on the two companies. 

Macquarie is forecasting 16% earnings per share (EPS) growth for both companies over the next 5 years. 

Macquarie raised its price target for Netwealth shares by 17%, from $28.40 to $33.35, reflecting long-term growth expectations. 

For Hub24, the broker raised its price target 29% from $74.20 to $95.90, citing positive market updates, its earnings forecasts, and long-term growth assumptions. 

However, the broker has a neutral rating on both stocks on valuation grounds.

Both companies are trading slightly below these price targets, suggesting their share prices will decline from here over the next 12 months. Based on today's share prices, Macquarie expects Netwealth to fall slightly more than Hub24 over the next 12 months.

Foolish Takeaway

Both Netwealth and Hub24 have developed exceptional 5-year track records. Given their long growth runways, it may be tempting for ASX investors to buy shares in these two companies. However, one expert believes they are both fully valued and will be trading lower in 12 months' time. ASX investors should wait for a more attractive entry point to buy these two ASX financial services companies.

Motley Fool contributor Laura Stewart has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Hub24, Macquarie Group, and Netwealth Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group and Netwealth Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Hub24. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Financial Shares

Worried woman calculating domestic bills.
Mergers & Acquisitions

Challenger jumps 4%, Pepper Money sinks as takeover collapses

Bid rejected, premium gone. Here's why one stock fell while the other rallied

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Financial Shares

Which ASX financial stock could deliver 30% upside?

A recent share price dip could signal an opportunity.

Read more »

A senior couple discusses a share trade they are making on a laptop computer.
Financial Shares

Are these battered ASX financials stocks finally bouncing back?

Is it time to buy low?

Read more »

A man surrounded by huge piles of paper looks through a magnifying glass at his computer screen.
Financial Shares

2 beaten-down ASX financial stocks worth a closer look

Falling share prices, rising fundamentals. Are these financials mispriced?

Read more »

Businesswoman holds hand out to shake.
Financial Shares

How high does Macquarie think this ASX 200 stock will go after its wealth sale?

This financial stock is a bargain, if the team at Macquarie are right.

Read more »

A shocked man holding some documents in the living room.
Financial Shares

IAG shares jump 12%: Buy, sell or hold?

Here's what the experts are tipping next.

Read more »

Worried woman calculating domestic bills.
Financial Shares

Pepper Money shares plunge 10% after Challenger slashes takeover offer

The revised proposal comes just over a month after the original takeover approach sparked a strong rally in Pepper’s share…

Read more »

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy QBE shares today

A leading analyst expects QBE shares to outperform. Let’s see why.

Read more »