1 ASX dividend stock down 42% I'd buy right now

This business could be a great undervalued stock to buy.

| More on:
A man reacts with surprise when her see a bargain price on his phone.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

sdf

The ASX dividend stock Rural Funds Group (ASX: RFF) is down 42% from its peak a few years ago at the start of 2022, as the chart below shows.

Rural Funds is real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns a number of farms across Australia, providing diversification both geographically and climate conditions.

In the current wider economic situation of uncertainty and falling interest rates, I think this business is a great option to consider buying right now for a few different reasons.

Big asset discount

Each REIT regularly tells investors about its underlying value per share/unit, either with the net asset value (NAV) or net tangible assets (NTA) figure. That includes the value of the properties, the loans and everything else.

The last update that investors heard was the ASX dividend stock's FY25 half-year result, for the period ending 31 December 2024. In that result, the business reported an adjusted NAV of $3.10 per unit.

That means, at the current Rural Funds share price, it's trading at a discount of 41% to its stated underlying value. In my eyes, that's a massive discount considering the other factors with this investment which I'll get into below.

Pleasing rental profit and distribution yield

As a landlord, the business rents out its farms to a variety of blue-chip tenants. Those farms are spread across different farming sectors including cattle, almonds, macadamias and vineyards.

The business makes a pleasing amount of rental profit each year, with the rental income increasing annually. The steady rental growth is happening thanks to contracted increases that are either fixed or linked to inflation, plus the occasional market review.

While the business does regularly invest in its farms to improve their productivity for tenants (such as increased water access), the ASX dividend stock is also giving investors a very pleasing distribution yield each year.

It recently provided guidance that it expects to pay a cash distribution of 11.73 cents per unit in FY26. At the current Rural Funds share price, that translates into a forward distribution yield of 6.4%, which I think is a pleasing yield, particularly with more potential rate cuts on the horizon.

Interest rate cuts

I think this business is well-positioned to benefit from interest rate cuts.

Further reductions of the RBA cash rate could lead to a number of developments. It should mean the amount of interest the business pays reduces in the coming years.

Rate cuts could also boost the value of the farms that the ASX dividend stock owns.

Additional rate cuts may also mean that investors are willing to close the discount between the Rural Funds share price and its adjusted NAV.

Finally, if savings accounts and bonds offer less income, that could mean income-seekers are attracted to stable/defensive investments such as REITs like this ASX dividend stock.

For multiple reasons, I think this is a great time to consider this business.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Rural Funds Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Rural Funds Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

a mature aged couple dance together in their kitchen while they are preparing food in a joyful scene as the Breville share price rises on the back of a 25% profit surge
Dividend Investing

These cheap ASX dividend stocks could rise 25% to 40%

Analysts think these stock could generate big returns for income investors.

Read more »

A woman wearing glasses and a black top smiles broadly as she stares at a money yarn full of coins representing the rising JB Hi-Fi share price and rising dividends over the past five years
Dividend Investing

I'd buy 15,346 shares of this ASX 300 stock to aim for $150 a month of passive income

This business is a top contender for investment cash flow…

Read more »

A woman in a bright yellow jumper looks happily at her yellow piggy bank.
Dividend Investing

Forget CBA and buy these ASX dividend shares

Analysts think these picks would be better than the banking giant.

Read more »

A man smiles as he holds bank notes in front of a laptop.
Dividend Investing

Here's the Macquarie dividend forecast from top analysts through to 2027

This business has a promising dividend outlook. Let’s take a look…

Read more »

Happy woman and man looking at an iPad.
Dividend Investing

Forget term deposits! I'd buy these two ASX 200 shares instead

Term deposits aren’t as attractive to me these days.

Read more »

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

3 ASX dividend shares to buy with $7,000 and hold for a decade

Let's see why analysts think these shares would be great additions to an income portfolio.

Read more »

Woman relaxing on her phone on her couch, symbolising passive income.
Dividend Investing

Own IVV ETF or other iShares ASX ETFs? It's dividend payday for you!

Thinking TGIF? There's a better reason to celebrate. It's dividend payday for iShares investors!

Read more »

Hand holding Australian dollar (AUD) bills, symbolising ex dividend day. Passive income.
Bank Shares

This is the ASX bank stock with the largest dividend yield right now

Looking to ASX bank stocks for dividend income right now?

Read more »