5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Wednesday

Volatility is expected to return today and wipe out yesterday's gains.

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On Tuesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) returned to form and bounced back from the market selloff. The benchmark index stormed 2.3% higher to 7,510 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Wednesday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall

The Australian share market looks set to give back most of yesterday's gains following a poor night of trade on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 157 points or 2.1% lower this morning. In the United States, the Dow Jones was down 0.85%, the S&P 500 fell 1.6%, and the Nasdaq dropped 2.15%. The latter was up as much as 4% at one stage before hitting reverse.

Oil prices continue to fall

ASX 200 energy shares Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) could have another difficult session after a tough night for oil prices. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 3.7% to US$58.46 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 3.7% to US$61.81 a barrel. Concerns over a potential full-blown trade war has put pressure on oil.

Fortescue shares upgraded

Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG) shares are no longer a sell according to analysts at Goldman Sachs. This morning, the broker has upgraded the iron ore miner's shares to neutral with a $15.30 price target on valuation grounds. It said: "Upgrade FMG to Neutral (from Sell) with the stock now trading at ~0.8x NAV, although we expect FCF to compress over 2025 in-line with our lower iron ore price forecasts. The company does have levers it can pull on opex and capex if required."

Gold price rises

It could be a decent session for ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) after the gold price edged higher overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is up 0.7% to US$2,993.7 an ounce. Safe haven demand gave the precious metal a lift.

Buy Mineral Resources shares

Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN) shares could be dirt cheap according to analysts at Bell Potter. This morning, the broker has retained its buy rating on the mining and mining services company's shares with a $29.00 price target. This implies potential upside of almost 80% for investors. It said: "We share the view that iron ore will continue to see support in the US$80/t – US$100/t range. MIN's share price implies long-term iron ore of ~US$82.5/t, which we think is overly pessimistic, given the consistent support that the price has enjoyed at the US$100/t level."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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