Top broker bullish on these beaten down ASX shares

After a tough start to the year, this broker sees where the value lies.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

2025 has proven difficult for several beaten-down ASX shares. After the broad market selloff in February, much of the market has yet to recover in full.

But this has opened the funding window to own passive interests in high-quality Australian businesses at a reasonable price.

That's the view of Macquarie analysts' in the investment bank's small-to-mid-cal (SMID) best picks for March 2025.

The report highlights G8 Education Ltd (ASX: GEM), Integral Diagnostics Ltd (ASX: IDX), and IPH Ltd (ASX: IPH) as buys after being heavily sold in recent weeks. Let's dive in.

Concept image of a businessman riding a bull on an upwards arrow.

Image source: Getty Images

Beaten down ASX shares in favour

Macquarie laid out several beaten down ASX shares in its report, including G8 Education. The early education centre operator has had a tough time this month, with shares down 5% from February highs.

Macquarie expects continued operating margin expansion in 2025 from G8, noting it has already seen a 1.2% margin growth in 2024

We expect further expansion of +70bps in CY25 will be driven by remaining procurement initiatives and divestments (MRE 8/13 flagged). Outer-year margins could see upside if: 1) occupancy increases; 2) pricing growth remains above inflation past CY26; and 3) GEM's footprint expands.

The broker also notes the recent 10% government funded pay increase for centre staff, with another 5% to come later this year.

It rates the beaten down ASX share a buy at $1.60 apiece. G8 closed at $1.29 on Monday.

Integral Diagnostics is another beaten-down ASX stock on Macquarie's list. The healthcare services company is down 21% this year, after its shares sunk in February on the back of its H1 FY25 numbers. It closed at $2.31 on Monday.

But Macquarie sees "several revenue tailwinds" this coming year, "supported by MRI deregulation and CT uplift from (its) lung screening programme."

MBS indicates strong start to 2H25 with benefits growth of +10% and volume +5% vs pcp. We expect revenue growth of ~7.5% in 2H25.

IDX's recent merger with CAJ is also expected to drive cost synergies, supporting operating margins in the future. The investment bank projects $8 million in cost savings this year thanks to lower employee costs.

It rates the beaten down ASX share a buy at $3.20 apiece.

IPH: 'Fundamentally cheap'?

The broker also rates IPH a buy and expects "a number of factors to support 2H25 earnings" which could see the stock trade higher.

IPH is down 11% this year and down nearly 28% in the past twelve months, falling from highs of $6.48 in August last year. It closed on Monday at $4.46.

The beaten down ASX stock is "fundamentally cheap", according to Macquarie, after the business beat its estimates in H1 FY25.

IPH's Canadian operations are expected to generate $4.5 million in annualised savings at the current run rate as well. This is bullish long-term for the company:

Longer term, sustained performance requires positive filing activity/improved market share in Australia, as well as underlying Asian and Canadian segment growth. PCT filing activity in the US turning positive would be well-received by investors.

Foolish takeaway

This broker is bullish on these beaten down ASX shares and sees long-term opportunities after the recent selloffs.

Macquarie also sees each name as high quality, seeing as they passed a number of screens. Time will tell if the broker's convictions are right into the future.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended IPH Ltd and Integral Diagnostics. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A business person directs a pointed finger upwards on a rising arrow on a bar graph.
Broker Notes

Why this surging ASX All Ords gold stock is tipped to rocket another 79%

A leading broker forecasts more outsized gains from this fast-rising ASX gold stock. But why?

Read more »

A person working on a computer holds a lightbulb that is connected to the network and shining brightly.
Broker Notes

Origin Energy shares: Experts argue the case to buy, hold, and sell

Three experts present three different ratings.

Read more »

A man rests his chin in his hands, pondering what is the answer?
Broker Notes

What is Bell Potter saying about A2 Milk shares after the selloff?

Is this a buy, hold, or sell after Monday's weakness? Let's find out.

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares
Broker Notes

Forget CBA shares and buy this ASX 200 stock: Shaw & Partners

Let's see what the broker is saying about these stocks.

Read more »

Time to sell written on a clock.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on CBA and Woodside shares

A top analyst foresees mounting headwinds for CBA and Woodside shares.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Why this quality ASX dividend share is tipped to surge 55%

A leading broker expects this ASX stock could rocket 55% atop paying two annual dividends.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: CBA, Reece, and Wesfarmers shares

Let's see what analysts are saying about these popular shares this week.

Read more »

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to buy these shares.

Read more »