Top broker bullish on these beaten down ASX shares

After a tough start to the year, this broker sees where the value lies.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

2025 has proven difficult for several beaten-down ASX shares. After the broad market selloff in February, much of the market has yet to recover in full.

But this has opened the funding window to own passive interests in high-quality Australian businesses at a reasonable price.

That's the view of Macquarie analysts' in the investment bank's small-to-mid-cal (SMID) best picks for March 2025.

The report highlights G8 Education Ltd (ASX: GEM), Integral Diagnostics Ltd (ASX: IDX), and IPH Ltd (ASX: IPH) as buys after being heavily sold in recent weeks. Let's dive in.

Concept image of a businessman riding a bull on an upwards arrow.

Image source: Getty Images

Beaten down ASX shares in favour

Macquarie laid out several beaten down ASX shares in its report, including G8 Education. The early education centre operator has had a tough time this month, with shares down 5% from February highs.

Macquarie expects continued operating margin expansion in 2025 from G8, noting it has already seen a 1.2% margin growth in 2024

We expect further expansion of +70bps in CY25 will be driven by remaining procurement initiatives and divestments (MRE 8/13 flagged). Outer-year margins could see upside if: 1) occupancy increases; 2) pricing growth remains above inflation past CY26; and 3) GEM's footprint expands.

The broker also notes the recent 10% government funded pay increase for centre staff, with another 5% to come later this year.

It rates the beaten down ASX share a buy at $1.60 apiece. G8 closed at $1.29 on Monday.

Integral Diagnostics is another beaten-down ASX stock on Macquarie's list. The healthcare services company is down 21% this year, after its shares sunk in February on the back of its H1 FY25 numbers. It closed at $2.31 on Monday.

But Macquarie sees "several revenue tailwinds" this coming year, "supported by MRI deregulation and CT uplift from (its) lung screening programme."

MBS indicates strong start to 2H25 with benefits growth of +10% and volume +5% vs pcp. We expect revenue growth of ~7.5% in 2H25.

IDX's recent merger with CAJ is also expected to drive cost synergies, supporting operating margins in the future. The investment bank projects $8 million in cost savings this year thanks to lower employee costs.

It rates the beaten down ASX share a buy at $3.20 apiece.

IPH: 'Fundamentally cheap'?

The broker also rates IPH a buy and expects "a number of factors to support 2H25 earnings" which could see the stock trade higher.

IPH is down 11% this year and down nearly 28% in the past twelve months, falling from highs of $6.48 in August last year. It closed on Monday at $4.46.

The beaten down ASX stock is "fundamentally cheap", according to Macquarie, after the business beat its estimates in H1 FY25.

IPH's Canadian operations are expected to generate $4.5 million in annualised savings at the current run rate as well. This is bullish long-term for the company:

Longer term, sustained performance requires positive filing activity/improved market share in Australia, as well as underlying Asian and Canadian segment growth. PCT filing activity in the US turning positive would be well-received by investors.

Foolish takeaway

This broker is bullish on these beaten down ASX shares and sees long-term opportunities after the recent selloffs.

Macquarie also sees each name as high quality, seeing as they passed a number of screens. Time will tell if the broker's convictions are right into the future.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended IPH Ltd and Integral Diagnostics. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A smiling florist gets some good news on his laptop and tablet.
Broker Notes

What is Morgan's view on Navigator Global Investments shares after update

Morgans sees further upside for this stock.

Read more »

Cheerful businessman with a mining hat on the table sitting back with his arms behind his head while looking at his laptop's screen.
Broker Notes

What are brokers predicting for BHP shares over the next 12 months?

Have the mining giant's shares reached their peak? Or can they keep climbing? Let's find out.

Read more »

A young woman wearing a red and white striped t-shirt puts her hand to her chin and looks sideways as she wonders whether to buy ASX shares
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Aristocrat, Lovisa, Bendigo Bank shares

Here's what some experts think.

Read more »

A businesswoman on the phone is shocked as she looks at her watch, she's running out of time.
Broker Notes

Is this ASX 200 share a sell after announcing a $30-40 million EBITA hit?

Morgans has lowered its outlook on Worley shares.

Read more »

Buy, hold, and sell ratings written on signs on a wooden pole.
Broker Notes

Should you buy BHP shares ahead of the miner's production update?

BHP shares could see some big moves after the miner reports its March production results this week.

Read more »

A woman looks questioning as she puts a coin into a piggy bank.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, or sell? Coles, Wesfarmers, BHP shares

ASX 200 shares are in the red as the global oil shock continues to concern investors.

Read more »

Health professional working on his laptop.
Broker Notes

Are Orthocell shares a buy after crashing 7% yesterday?

These healthcare shares could be on discount right now.

Read more »

a happy man eats pizza in his kitchen with a long string of cheese between the pizza slice in his hand and in his mouth.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Collins Foods, Domino's, and Guzman Y Gomez shares

Bell Potter has given its verdict on these popular shares this morning.

Read more »