Why Bell Potter forecasts a 16% upside for this surging ASX All Ords defence stock

Up 80% in a year, Bell Potter sees more outperformance ahead for this ASX All Ords defence stock.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is down 5.5% in 2025, but that hasn't held back this surging ASX All Ords defence stock.

The outperforming company in question is Aussie shipbuilder Austal Ltd (ASX: ASB).

Up 3.8% in early afternoon trade at $3.84 a share, the Austal share price is up 23.8% year to date.

The ASX All Ords defence stock has also raced ahead of the benchmark over the full year, gaining 80% in 12 months compared to the tepid 0.4% growth posted by the All Ordinaries.

And with the Austral share price having tumbled more than 15% since 10 March, Bell Potter believes there are more outsized gains to be had.

US navy ship sailing along at sunset.

Image source: Getty Images

Positive outlook for ASX All Ords defence stock

As The Australian Financial Review reported, Bell Potter has a buy rating on Austal, with a price target of $4.45 a share.

That represents a potential upside of 15.9% for the ASX All Ords defence stock from current levels.

The broker is bullish on Austal's record contract book and positive outlook.

"Austal has solidified its position as a key contributor in both the Australian and US naval industrial bases," analyst Daniel Laing said.

Among the reasons supporting its buy recommendation, Bell Potter pointed to record levels of global defence spending and the increasing focus on naval power in the tumultuous Pacific.

Austal shares could also garner tailwinds from the AUKUS agreement along with a shipbuilding agreement with the Aussie government.

What's been happening with Austal shares?

Austal shares grabbed investor attention in February on the heels of its strong half-year earnings results. Highlights included a 108.9% year-on-year increase in net profit after tax to $25.1 million and revenue of $825.7 million, up 15.1%.

The balance sheet was also strong, with the ASX All Ords defence stock reporting a big lift in its net cash position to $212.6 million as at 31 December.

As for this week's 15% retrace, that followed on Austal's announcement on Tuesday that it had successfully raised $200 million in capital via an institutional share placement. The shipbuilder aims to raise another $20 million from an ordinary share purchase plan.

While that leaves the company well-capitalised, investors sold off the stock as the placement was at a price of $3.80 a share. That's a 15.6% discount to the $4.50 share price Austal closed at prior to entering a trading halt ahead of the capital raise announcement.

But if Bell Potter has it right, the ASX All Ords defence stock could recoup most of those losses in the months ahead, handing investors who buy shares today a potential 16% gain.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Austal. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Industrials Shares

Man sitting in a plane looking through a window and working on a laptop.
Industrials Shares

Qantas shares extend losses as fuel costs reshape operations

Qantas shares drop as fuel costs reshape airline operations.

Read more »

Military engineer works on drone.
Industrials Shares

Droneshield shares rocket 20% higher: What has happened?

The counter drone technology's share price has been very volatile recently.

Read more »

Happy aeroplane passenger using his phone and listening to music.
Industrials Shares

This beaten-down ASX stock just jumped nearly 20%. Here's why it's suddenly flying

Alliance shares jump as company addresses fuel cost concerns.

Read more »

Three builders analyse their blueprints on site.
Industrials Shares

After more than doubling over the past year one broker sees more upside for this ASX small-cap stock

A solid pipeline has this builder set up for a strong second half.

Read more »

A silhouette of a soldier flying a drone at sunset.
Technology Shares

Why are these 2 defence stocks tumbling today?

Two ASX defence stocks are falling despite no new announcements.

Read more »

Ecstatic woman looking at her phone outside with her fist pumped.
Industrials Shares

Downer shares jump today. Here's what's driving the move

Downer shares lift today as a new contract boosts investor sentiment.

Read more »

A group of three builders wearing worker overalls and carrying hard hats in their hands jumps jubilantly atop a rooftop space on a commercial building.
Industrials Shares

Which All Ords builder could benefit from Brisbane's big Olympics build?

These shares are looking cheap, Shaw and Partners says.

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer
Industrials Shares

Computershare shares just hit a fresh multi-year low. What is going on?

Computershare shares fall to a multi-year low after 7 straight declines.

Read more »