Why I think Xero shares are still a buy

While the company's results speak volumes, one specific metric stands out for me.

| More on:
ASX shares upgrade buy Woman in glasses writing on buy on board

Image Source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) share price has gained more than 28% over the past year, and it looks set to continue its strong run.

The accounting software provider's customer base has been steadily growing, with the company now claiming about 4.2 million subscribers across its key markets in Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and North America.

The headline figure for Xero's latest half-year results, released in November, touted the company's 25% revenue increase, resulting in free cash flow almost doubling to around $200 million.

As such, Xero is well placed to expand its customer base, with a total addressable market encompassing 100 million businesses.

And while those numbers speak volumes, one metric really stands out for me.

Xero's user experience fosters customer retention

Over the years, as part of my research in the accounting tech space, I've interviewed dozens of accountants and users of various accounting platforms, including Sage Group (LSE: SGE) and QuickBooks, owned by Intuit Inc (NASDAQ: INTU).

And of those I spoke with who were Xero customers, it's difficult to recall any intending to move away from Xero or had a negative experience with the company.

In fact, many accountants I spoke with discussed their experiences with Xero with enthusiasm, some with passion.

I recall one accountant being so pleased with Xero that she not only invested her money in the company but also set up trading accounts for her kids so she could buy Xero shares for them.

Xero continues to receive positive feedback from users, achieving a 4.4/5 rating from more than 3,000 comments on the software reviews platform Capterra. Although some users have highlighted issues, such as the need for the company to improve its customer support, overall, this is a company that has improved the lives of its users.

It has done this by producing a solid product that resonates with users.

Stickiness, or a company's ability to lock in customers for the long run, is a key indicator of a business's long-term prospects, particularly for a SaaS company fuelled by recurring revenue. With a subscriber retention rate of around 99%, it seems Xero's customers are loyal, and enthusiasm for Xero's products shows no obvious signs of waning.

That retention rate also gives more substance to the rate of subscriber growth and how that will translate to future revenues.

Xero's steady leadership

Since succeeding Steve Vamos as CEO in February 2023, Sukhinder Singh Cassidy has proven to be a steady hand at the helm of Xero.

Another key appointment will take effect in April, when former Teradata Corp (NYSE: TDC) CFO Claire Bramley will become Xero's Chief Financial Officer.

It's unlikely that leadership change will have a material impact on Xero's long-term growth prospects, with current CFO Kirsty Godfrey-Billy expected to be available to help with the transition through to the end of June 2025.

With all that said, I still rate Xero as a buy.

The Motley Fool contributor Steve Holland owns shares in Xero. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Intuit and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Sage Group Plc. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Teradata. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

two people sit side by side on a rollercoaster ride with their hands raised in the air and happy smiles on their faces
Opinions

Up over 200% in 6 months: Are Pilbara Minerals shares still a buy?

How high can the lithium producer’s shares go?

Read more »

Two young boys sit at a desk wearing helmets with lightbulbs, indicating two ASX 200 shares that a broker has recommended as buys today
Opinions

The best stocks to invest $1,000 in right now

I'd be happy to pick up more of these winners right now.

Read more »

A woman sits on sofa pondering a question.
Opinions

Best ASX retail stock to buy right now: Wesfarmers or Woolworths?

Here's my pick between the two retail powerhouses.

Read more »

A bearded man holds both arms up diagonally and points with his index fingers to the sky with a thrilled look on his face over these rising Tassal share price
Opinions

4 ASX shares I'd buy today with $10,000

I think these shares are set to soar.

Read more »

A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.
Opinions

Is it time to sell your Wesfarmers shares?

The stock crashed 15% in October.

Read more »

A woman looks nonplussed as she holds up a handful of Australian $50 notes.
Opinions

Westpac versus CBA shares: Which bank is a better buy for 2026?

Are you weighing up buying shares in these two banking giants?

Read more »

A woman sits on a chair smiling as she shops online.
Opinions

Down 30% this year. Are Block shares finally a buy?

Here's what's ahead for the company over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A trendy woman wearing sunglasses splashes cash notes from her hands.
Opinions

3 of the best ASX 200 shares to buy right now!

These stocks have strong long-term growth potential.

Read more »