Why I think Xero shares are still a buy

While the company's results speak volumes, one specific metric stands out for me.

| More on:
ASX shares upgrade buy Woman in glasses writing on buy on board

Image Source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) share price has gained more than 28% over the past year, and it looks set to continue its strong run.

The accounting software provider's customer base has been steadily growing, with the company now claiming about 4.2 million subscribers across its key markets in Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and North America.

The headline figure for Xero's latest half-year results, released in November, touted the company's 25% revenue increase, resulting in free cash flow almost doubling to around $200 million.

As such, Xero is well placed to expand its customer base, with a total addressable market encompassing 100 million businesses.

And while those numbers speak volumes, one metric really stands out for me.

Xero's user experience fosters customer retention

Over the years, as part of my research in the accounting tech space, I've interviewed dozens of accountants and users of various accounting platforms, including Sage Group (LSE: SGE) and QuickBooks, owned by Intuit Inc (NASDAQ: INTU).

And of those I spoke with who were Xero customers, it's difficult to recall any intending to move away from Xero or had a negative experience with the company.

In fact, many accountants I spoke with discussed their experiences with Xero with enthusiasm, some with passion.

I recall one accountant being so pleased with Xero that she not only invested her money in the company but also set up trading accounts for her kids so she could buy Xero shares for them.

Xero continues to receive positive feedback from users, achieving a 4.4/5 rating from more than 3,000 comments on the software reviews platform Capterra. Although some users have highlighted issues, such as the need for the company to improve its customer support, overall, this is a company that has improved the lives of its users.

It has done this by producing a solid product that resonates with users.

Stickiness, or a company's ability to lock in customers for the long run, is a key indicator of a business's long-term prospects, particularly for a SaaS company fuelled by recurring revenue. With a subscriber retention rate of around 99%, it seems Xero's customers are loyal, and enthusiasm for Xero's products shows no obvious signs of waning.

That retention rate also gives more substance to the rate of subscriber growth and how that will translate to future revenues.

Xero's steady leadership

Since succeeding Steve Vamos as CEO in February 2023, Sukhinder Singh Cassidy has proven to be a steady hand at the helm of Xero.

Another key appointment will take effect in April, when former Teradata Corp (NYSE: TDC) CFO Claire Bramley will become Xero's Chief Financial Officer.

It's unlikely that leadership change will have a material impact on Xero's long-term growth prospects, with current CFO Kirsty Godfrey-Billy expected to be available to help with the transition through to the end of June 2025.

With all that said, I still rate Xero as a buy.

The Motley Fool contributor Steve Holland owns shares in Xero. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Intuit and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Sage Group Plc. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Teradata. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

Person handing out $50 notes, symbolising ex-dividend date.
Dividend Investing

Where I'd invest $10,000 into ASX dividend shares right now

I think these businesses are a strong buy for passive income.

Read more »

Calculator next to money.
Opinions

3 unstoppable ASX shares to buy with $3,000

These businesses are growing profit year after year…

Read more »

A businessman in a suit adds a coin to a pink piggy bank sitting on his desk next to a pile of coins and a clock, indicating the power of compound interest over time.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

1 ASX 200 share to consider for the coming decade

I think this stock has a right decade in front of it.

Read more »

A business woman looks unhappy while she flies a red flag at her laptop.
Opinions

5 ASX shares I'm avoiding this week

There's warning bells ahead for these stocks.

Read more »

a hand reaches out with australian banknotes of various denominations fanned out.
Dividend Investing

These 2 ASX dividend shares are great buys right now

These defensive names look like strong picks today.

Read more »

Four piles of coins, each getting higher, with trees on them.
Growth Shares

2 ASX 200 shares that could be top buys for growth

These two businesses have an exciting future.

Read more »

Two IT professionals walk along a wall of mainframes in a data centre discussing various things
Technology Shares

This ASX 200 share is being labelled one of the market's most undervalued by brokers

NextDC shares have pulled back sharply, but brokers believe the long-term growth story remains firmly on track.

Read more »

Hand holding out coal in front of a coal mine.
Energy Shares

Up 25% in 2025: Is Whitehaven Coal still a buy?

After a strong 25% run this year, investors are asking whether Whitehaven Coal still has more upside left.

Read more »