Why the Tesla share price just soared 6%

Tesla stock is on the move again…

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This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

The Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) share price was revving higher in Thursday's trading. The electric vehicle (EV) leader's share price was up 5.9% as of market close amid a 1.04% gain for the S&P 500 index and a 1.5% gain for the Nasdaq Composite index.

The Tesla share price gained ground following a recent report suggesting that the company could be on track to receive a $400 million contract through the U.S. State Department. However, subsequent developments are casting doubt on whether the deal will actually go through. The stock also got a boost from bullish analyst coverage.

Is Tesla getting a $400 million State contract for armored vehicles?

Late Wednesday, reports emerged that Tesla would receive a $400 million contract to provide armored EVs for the State Department. The department's 2025 procurement forecast had a segment titled "Armored Electric Vehicles" and listed $400 million for Tesla as one of its planned expenses in the category.

However, it now looks like the contract may not materialise. For starters, the State Department amended its spending forecast — renaming the "Armored Electric Vehicles" section "Armored Car Services" and removing Tesla from the list of companies that are slated to see deals through the department. Notably, Tesla was the only one of the companies listed in the section to have its forecast deal removed.

CEO Elon Musk also followed up with commentary on the matter, saying that there was no $400 million Armored Tesla contract in the works. But while Musk has poured water on the deal, some investors may be betting that the EV leader will wind up securing other State contracts.

Tesla share price climbs on positive analyst coverage

In a note published Wednesday, Wedbush Analyst Daniel Ives reiterated his outperform rating and one-year price target of $550 per share for Tesla stock. As of this writing, Ives' price forecast suggests additional upside of roughly 54%.

Ives expects that the close relationship between Musk and the Trump administration will help pave the way for the EV company to see huge benefits connected to federal autonomous vehicle programs. The analyst expects that this dynamic alone will unlock over $1 trillion in valuation gains for Tesla in the coming years. He also sees robotics and artificial intelligence (AI) as key growth catalysts for the company.

With today's gains, Tesla's valuation has been pushed up to roughly $1.12 trillion. That looks like a potentially risky valuation given that growth for the company's EVs in the commercial market has stalled recently, but the tech leader has some other big growth drivers on the horizon that could help it beat expectations.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Keith Noonan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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