Why are Origin Energy shares sinking today?

Let's see what is weighing on this energy company's shares today.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG) shares are on the move on Friday.

In morning trade, the energy retailer's shares are down 3.5% to $10.82.

This follows the release of its quarterly update from the three months ended 31 December 2024..

A man slumps crankily over his morning coffee as it pours with rain outside.

Image source: Getty Images

Origin Energy shares tumble on second quarter update

Origin's Australia Pacific LNG (APLNG) segment delivered a solid top line performance during the quarter, with revenue rising 3% from the prior quarter to $2.71 billion.

Management notes that this was driven by higher LNG volumes and prices, partially offset by lower short-term domestic volumes.

Production in the December quarter came in slightly lower than the prior quarter. As a result, management has downgraded its FY 2025 production guidance for APLNG to 670–690 petajoules (PJ). This is down 2% to 3% from its previous forecast of 685–710 PJ.

The company advised that this reflects lower-than-expected benefits from well optimisation efforts at Condabri, Talinga, and Orana, as well as reduced performance from non-operated assets and unplanned maintenance.

Offsetting some of this disappointing news was a stellar earnings performance for the first half. Management revealed that Origin LNG trading EBITDA increased 270% to $285 million in the first half. This puts the company in a great position to at least achieve its FY 2025 guidance of $400 million to $450 million for this segment.

Energy Markets

Origin revealed that electricity sales volumes were steady year-on-year, with customer growth and warm weather balancing out lower usage due to increased solar uptake and energy efficiency measures.

Gas volumes declined 9% compared to the December 2023 quarter, with retail volumes down 5% due to weather impacts. This was partially offset by an expanding customer base. Business gas volumes fell 11%, reflecting contract expirations and weaker short-term trading sales.

Looking ahead, Origin has already locked in approximately 55% of its anticipated FY 2026 coal volumes through contracts or hedging arrangements. Pleasingly, pricing is largely in line with FY 2025 levels.

In addition, the company approved the third stage of the Eraring battery project. This latest expansion adds 700 megawatt-hours (MWh) to the first stage currently under construction. Once complete, the Eraring battery will boast a total storage capacity of 700 megawatts (MW) and 2,800 MWh.

Octopus Energy

Finally, the Octopus Energy business continued its strong growth trajectory during the quarter. The UK-based energy retailer added over 680,000 customer accounts, bringing its total UK customer base to 7.3 million. Internationally, Octopus Energy now serves more than 1.8 million customers.

Its Kraken technology platform also expanded its reach, with global customer accounts contracted to the system hitting 62 million.

As a result, Kraken remains on track to achieve its goal of 100 million contracted accounts by 2027.

Management commentary

Commenting on the quarterly performance, Origin CEO Frank Calabria highlighted the company's operational resilience and strategic progress. He said:

Australia Pacific LNG delivered strong revenue for the quarter driven by higher LNG volumes and prices, however, production slightly declined as we achieved lower-than-expected benefits from well optimisation activities at some fields, and output was also lower at some non-operated assets.

And speaking about the rapid growth of Octopus Energy, Calabria adds:

Octopus Energy's rapid growth continues, adding significant UK and international retail customers in the quarter, including a record number of organic customers in December. Octopus Energy is now the largest energy retailer in the UK, and its Kraken platform is cementing its place as the technology of choice for utilities globally.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

Man holding fifty Australian Dollar banknotes in his hands, symbolising dividends.
Energy Shares

If I invest $8,000 in Woodside shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?

Woodside could add a lot of energy to a dividend portfolio.

Read more »

Woman refuelling the gas tank at fuel pump.
Energy Shares

Ampol launches new $400m subordinated notes facility

Ampol has announced a new $400 million delayed-draw subordinated notes facility to support its capital management strategy.

Read more »

three businessmen high five each other outside an office building with graphic images of graphs and metrics superimposed on the shot.
Energy Shares

Bell Potter is tipping this ASX energy stock to rise 40% (It isn't Woodside)

Looking for energy sector exposure? Bell Potter is bullish on this name.

Read more »

An image showing a red graph with a white arrow pointing downwards above three black barrels of oil.
Energy Shares

Crude oil falls below US$70 as ASX energy shares sell-off

ASX energy shares are under pressure as crude keeps falling.

Read more »

A surprised man sits at his desk in his study staring at his computer screen with his hands up.
Energy Shares

What's going on with this ASX uranium stock?

This stock isn't coming back from its suspension any time soon.

Read more »

Oil industry worker climbing up metal construction and smiling.
Energy Shares

Is the Woodside share price a buy in July?

Is this the right time to invest in the ASX energy share?

Read more »

Oil worker using a smartphone in front of an oil rig.
Energy Shares

Buying Woodside shares? Here's the dividend yield you'll get today

Does this oil giant measure up for income?

Read more »

Two oil workers with hard hats shake hands in the foreground of oil equipment.
Energy Shares

Woodside shares sink again as oil price pressure outweighs new gas deal

Woodside shares are falling as oil prices pull back.

Read more »