Is the Woodside share price a buy in July?

Is this the right time to invest in the ASX energy share?

The Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) share price has been through plenty of volatility in the last few months. So, after so much has happened, it's good to ask whether this is a good time to invest.

As the above chart shows, there have been plenty of ups and downs this year. Despite the decline since April, it's still up more than 18% since 2026.

The question now is whether the business is good value. Let's see what experts think.

Oil industry worker climbing up metal construction and smiling.

Image source: Getty Images

Expert recommendations

According to CMC Invest, there have been nine analyst ratings on the business within the last three months.

Of those nine ratings, two were buy ratings, five were hold ratings, and two were sell ratings.

These ratings average out to a hold rating, though there are both positive and negative views on the business.

However, the price target may be a better indicator of whether experts think a business could deliver good returns.

Woodside share price target

A price target tells investors where an expert thinks the Woodside share price will be in 12 months from the time of the investment call.

Of course, a price target is not a guaranteed return (or decline), it's just what the expert thinks.

The average price target of those nine ratings is $31.39. At the time of writing, that translates into a possible rise of 12% over the next year.

But, the most optimistic price target is $36.50, implying a possible rise of 30% in the next 12 months. The lowest price target is $24.75, suggesting the Woodside share price could decline by more than 11% in the next year.

What to look at next

Woodside can't really control energy prices, but the disruption in the Middle East could last longer than just the next few weeks – it may take a while for fuel supply and inventory to return to normal. Energy prices could rise from here, even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens.

It'll be very interesting to see what happens with energy prices. In the first quarter of 2026, Woodside reported that the average realised price was $63 per barrel of oil equivalent (BOE), up 11% compared to the fourth quarter of 2025.

I think the energy price could remain stronger than previously expected amid global growth of energy demand, particularly because of the growth of AI and data centres. Only so much renewable energy can be installed each year, while nuclear power is expensive to build and takes a while to complete. LNG could be important for filling in that demand gap.

Woodside is investing in new projects that will help improve its scale advantages and unlock more cash flow for the business.

It's one of the ASX shares to keep an eye on, though there are plenty of ideas that aren't linked to the volatility of energy prices which could be better buys.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

Man holding a calculator with Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Energy Shares

If I invest $15,000 in Woodside shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?

Woodside could be a source of large passive income in 2027.

Read more »

Oil worker using a smartphone in front of an oil rig.
Energy Shares

How many Woodside shares do I need to buy for $1,000 per month of passive income?

Find out what you could earn off your oil and gas investment.

Read more »

Engineer in the oilfield wearing red helmet and work clothes, with pumpjack and wellhead in the background.
Energy Shares

Woodside Energy vs Ampol: Which ASX oil stock looks better this week?

Woodside Energy and Ampol both offer franked income, but one oil stock looks better value to me right now.

Read more »

An oil worker in front of a pumpjack using a tablet.
Broker Notes

2 ASX energy companies Macquarie says will outperform

There's still some value in the volatile energy sector, the broker says.

Read more »

Engineer at an underground mine and talking to a miner.
Broker Notes

Up 42% and paying a 7% dividend yield, should I buy New Hope shares today?

A leading expert delivers his outlook for New Hope’s outperforming shares.

Read more »

A man scratches his head in confusion.
Energy Shares

This ASX energy stock just crashed 12%. Here's what's gone wrong

Investors are heading for the exits.

Read more »

A woman wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks to the sky with her hand to her chin, contemplating buying ASX shares.
Energy Shares

Boss Energy vs Paladin Energy: Which ASX uranium stock wins?

Boss Energy and Paladin Energy are ASX uranium leaders. Here’s which I’d buy based on value, growth, and latest performance.

Read more »

A mining worker clenches his fists celebrating success at sunset in the mine.
Broker Notes

Macquarie says this ASX uranium producer has more than 15% upside

A new mine design has impressed the broker.

Read more »