Guess which under-the-radar ASX 300 stock this fundie is 'particularly excited about'

A leading fundie forecasts substantial growth potential for this ASX 300 dividend stock.

S&P/ASX 300 Index (ASX: XKO) stock Nick Scali Ltd (ASX: NCK) may not operate in the most glamorous sector, but the stock has been amply rewarding its longer-term shareholders.

Shares in the furniture retailer closed up 0.8% on Friday at $15.66. That sees the Nick Scali share price up 24.6% over 12 months, or more than double the 11.8% one-year gains posted by the ASX 300.

And that's not including the 68 cents a share in fully franked dividends Nick Scali paid out in 2024. If we add those back in, then the accumulated value of the ASX 300 stock is up 31.2% since this time last year.

With that background in mind, here's why Airlie Fund Management's Will Granger maintains a bullish outlook for Nick Scali for the years ahead.

Siblings laying upside down on a couch.

Image source: Getty Images

Why this fund manager is bullish on the ASX 300 stock

In the Airlie Small Companies Fund quarterly update, Granger shared his insights on Nick Scali, a company that the fund holds.

"One of the investments we're particularly excited about is Nick Scali, despite furniture retailing not being the most glamorous sector," he said.

Granger pointed to the lengthy outperformance the ASX 300 stock has delivered to patient, long-term shareholders:

Nick Scali has an impressive track record, delivering more than 30 times the initial investment since its listing in 2004. This performance is more than ten times the return of the index over the same period.

Granger said that Nick Scali's acquisition of Fabb Furniture, announced to the market on 24 April, opened the door to the United Kingdom furniture market.

This could support the ASX 300 stock moving forward.

Granger noted:

The acquisition cost is relatively low, at around $50 million, or 5% of Nick Scali's market cap, limiting downside risk. Management has a proven ability to create value through acquisitions, as seen with the successful integration of Plush Furniture in 2021.

The strategy for Fabb Furniture involves leveraging Nick Scali's supply chain and establishing a strong store network, a playbook that has worked before.

Granger also said that Nick Scali's "robust" balance sheet offers "significant cash reserves and property assets, providing ample funding" for the company's expansion into the UK.

"The UK furniture market is twice the size of Australia's, offering substantial growth potential," he said.

But, according to Granger, investors haven't fully factored in this growth potential for the ASX 300 stock.

He explained:

Despite these promising factors, the market has not fully priced in the UK expansion, presenting an attractive opportunity.

While it may take a few years for the UK venture to show results, we remain optimistic and patient holders, confident in the long-term prospects of the business.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Nick Scali. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

Beautiful young woman drinking fresh orange juice in kitchen.
Retail Shares

I'd buy 702 shares of Wesfarmers stock to build a $200 per month second income

Is this business a great blue-chip option for dividends?

Read more »

Woman's legs with colourful shopping bags on the escalator in a shopping mall.
Retail Shares

Wesfarmers shares rebound 11%: Can they keep climbing?

The conglomerate hit a low of just $72.29 in mid-September.

Read more »

Beautiful young couple enjoying in shopping, symbolising passive income.
Retail Shares

How much must I invest in Wesfarmers shares to earn $2,000 of passive income?

Wesfarmers may be one of the ASX’s best businesses.

Read more »

A man in a business suit rides a graphic image of an arrow that is rebounding on a graph.
Retail Shares

JB Hi-Fi vs Lovisa: Which beaten-down ASX retailer could rebound strongly?

JB Hi-Fi and Lovisa have both tumbled, but here’s why I think one stands out for a sharper rebound.

Read more »

CEO leading a board meeting.
Retail Shares

Harvey Norman vs Premier Investments: Which founder-led stock is the better buy in 2026?

I dig into Harvey Norman vs Premier Investments shares to answer which founder-led retailer offers more bang for your buck…

Read more »

Senior couple sledding in the snow.
Retail Shares

9,627 shares of Wesfarmers pay an income equal to the Age Pension

This business is one of the ASX’s strongest dividend payers…

Read more »

Stressed business woman sits at desk with head resting on her hand
Retail Shares

Why are Lovisa shares crashing 9% today?

And find out what the experts think of the shares.

Read more »

A smiling woman at a hardware shop selects paint colours from a wall display.
Retail Shares

Down 20%: Is the Wesfarmers share price a top buy?

I look beyond the fall to see whether the earnings outlook supports buying today.

Read more »