Woolworths shares are down 11% this year. Time to go shopping?

Could now be the time to enter for the long-term?

| More on:
A little girl holds broccoli over her eyes with a big happy smile.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) shares have dropped 11% this year to date, as the grocery giant deals with a number of headwinds.

Shares are currently trading at $33.05, sliding more than 5% in the past month alone.

But is the stock actually worth its current price? And is now the time to head to the store to pick up some Woolworths shares? Let's see what the experts think.

Why Woolworths shares could be a buy

Woolworths is Australia's largest supermarket chain, serving millions of customers each week through its extensive network of grocery stores, and Big W.

Goldman Sachs believes the company's long history and "consumer stickiness" could help it gain further market share.

The broker rates Woolworths shares a buy with a price target of $38.90. It cites Woolworths' ability to pass on cost increases to its customers  – something that protects margins in a high-inflation environment.

Goldman sees the company as "value entry level", labeling the grocery giant a "high-quality and defensive stock."

But the past year hasn't been smooth sailing for Woolworths or its shareholders. The company's FY 2024 results highlighted some of the challenges it faced.

We also can't overlook that Woolworths is dealing with legal action from the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC), along with main rival Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL), accused of misleading discount pricing claims on supermarket products.

But this doesn't change anything about the fundamentals of the company.

So much so that Seneca Financial Solutions believes these concerns have been factored into the current valuation of Woolworths shares.

The fund suggests Woolworths could be an ideal pick for "the longer-term investor".

Dividend potential could sweeten the deal

And it would seem several brokers agree with Seneca's view. More so when it comes to the dividend potential for Woolworths shares.

The company rewarded shareholders with a total payout of $1.44 per share over the FY24 period.

Goldman Sachs sees further upside in Woolworths' dividend outlook. The broker expects fully franked dividends of $1.08 per share in FY25 and $1.19 per share the year after.

This would translate to yields of approximately 3.3% and 3.6%, at the time of publication respectively.

Combined with its price target of $38.90, this implies a total shareholder return of approximately 20% over the next twelve months.

Foolish takeaway

Woolworths shares have faced their fair share of challenges in 2024. However, experts say that the current dip might present a chance for long-term investors to pick up a quality ASX 200 stock at a discount.

Over the past 12 months, the stock is down 9%.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Coles Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A mechanic wipes his forehead under a car with a tool in his hand and looking at car parts.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why Bapcor shares are falling today despite a powerful 14% rebound this week

Lenders have approved a temporary increase to the company’s net leverage ratio covenant.

Read more »

Car dealer and happy couple talking.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Here's why a major NSW acquisition just sent Peter Warren shares higher

The acquisition materially increases Peter Warren’s presence in one of Australia’s fastest-growing automotive regions.

Read more »

a woman sits at her desk with her hand up as if saying 'pick me' as she smiles widely.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Top picks! Macquarie says these ASX stocks can rise 20% to 30%

The broker has good things to say about these stocks.

Read more »

jumbo share price - lottery ball numbers
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why Jumbo shares could be one to watch today

Investors are watching Jumbo shares after a contract-related update released after Thursday’s market close.

Read more »

A businessman in a suit adds a coin to a pink piggy bank sitting on his desk next to a pile of coins and a clock, indicating the power of compound interest over time.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

1 ASX 200 share to consider for the coming decade

I think this stock has a right decade in front of it.

Read more »

Portrait of a female student on graduation day from university.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Here's why a surprise accounting shift sent IDP shares higher today

Management reaffirmed IDP Education's FY26 guidance.

Read more »

Wife and husband with a laptop on a sofa over the moon at good news.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Bapcor shares soar 12% on the appointment of a new CEO

The market’s strong reaction reflects a clear message: investors are ready for a reset.

Read more »

A jockey gets down low on a beautiful race horse as they flash past in a professional horse race with another competitor and horse a little further behind in the background.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Gaming tech company's tie up with global operator Stake sends shares higher

An agreement to supply racing data to Stake has sent this company's shares higher.

Read more »