Woolworths shares are down 11% this year. Time to go shopping?

Could now be the time to enter for the long-term?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) shares have dropped 11% this year to date, as the grocery giant deals with a number of headwinds.

Shares are currently trading at $33.05, sliding more than 5% in the past month alone.

But is the stock actually worth its current price? And is now the time to head to the store to pick up some Woolworths shares? Let's see what the experts think.

A little girl holds broccoli over her eyes with a big happy smile.

Image source: Getty Images

Why Woolworths shares could be a buy

Woolworths is Australia's largest supermarket chain, serving millions of customers each week through its extensive network of grocery stores, and Big W.

Goldman Sachs believes the company's long history and "consumer stickiness" could help it gain further market share.

The broker rates Woolworths shares a buy with a price target of $38.90. It cites Woolworths' ability to pass on cost increases to its customers  – something that protects margins in a high-inflation environment.

Goldman sees the company as "value entry level", labeling the grocery giant a "high-quality and defensive stock."

But the past year hasn't been smooth sailing for Woolworths or its shareholders. The company's FY 2024 results highlighted some of the challenges it faced.

We also can't overlook that Woolworths is dealing with legal action from the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC), along with main rival Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL), accused of misleading discount pricing claims on supermarket products.

But this doesn't change anything about the fundamentals of the company.

So much so that Seneca Financial Solutions believes these concerns have been factored into the current valuation of Woolworths shares.

The fund suggests Woolworths could be an ideal pick for "the longer-term investor".

Dividend potential could sweeten the deal

And it would seem several brokers agree with Seneca's view. More so when it comes to the dividend potential for Woolworths shares.

The company rewarded shareholders with a total payout of $1.44 per share over the FY24 period.

Goldman Sachs sees further upside in Woolworths' dividend outlook. The broker expects fully franked dividends of $1.08 per share in FY25 and $1.19 per share the year after.

This would translate to yields of approximately 3.3% and 3.6%, at the time of publication respectively.

Combined with its price target of $38.90, this implies a total shareholder return of approximately 20% over the next twelve months.

Foolish takeaway

Woolworths shares have faced their fair share of challenges in 2024. However, experts say that the current dip might present a chance for long-term investors to pick up a quality ASX 200 stock at a discount.

Over the past 12 months, the stock is down 9%.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Coles Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A businessman wears armour and holds a shield and sword.
Share Market News

Nervous investors turn to ASX 200 defensives as global energy shock drags on

ASX investors sought safety in defensive sectors last week.

Read more »

A smiling woman at a hardware shop selects paint colours from a wall display.
Broker Notes

Wesfarmers shares: Buy, hold or sell?

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on Wesfarmers shares.

Read more »

A couple sits on the bed in their hotel room wearing white robes, both have seen the bad news on their phones.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

EVT flags FY26 EBITDA growth amid hotel strength and portfolio changes

EVT expects EBITDA growth for FY26, with hotels leading performance and ongoing portfolio upgrades supporting future results.

Read more »

Happy smiling young woman drinking red wine while standing among the grapevines in a vineyard.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why is everyone buying this beaten-down ASX wine stock now?

Execution will determine if this rally has legs.

Read more »

Shot of a young businesswoman looking stressed out while working in an office.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Guess which ASX 200 stock is sinking 15% on CEO change

The online furniture retailer has announced a leadership change today.

Read more »

Woman customer and grocery shopping cart in supermarket store, retail outlet or mall shop. Female shopper pushing trolley in shelf aisle to buy discount groceries, sale goods and brand offers.
Broker Notes

Should you buy Woolworths shares for the 'steady dividends'?

A leading analyst provides his outlook for Woolworths rebounding shares.

Read more »

A close up of a casino card dealer's hands shuffling a deck of cards at a professional gambling table with the eager faces of casino patrons in the background.
Share Gainers

Why is everyone buying Tabcorp shares this week?

Here's what is driving the latest price momentum for Tabcorp shares, and what to expect next.

Read more »

A group of people clink wine glasses in an outdoor, late afternoon setting to celebrate the rising Treasury Wine share price
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why are Treasury Wine shares rocketing 16% today?

Investors are piling into Treasury Wine shares on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »