Woodside share price marching higher amid OPEC production backflip

ASX 200 investors are bidding up the Woodside share price on Tuesday. But why?

| More on:
Worker inspecting oil and gas pipeline.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) share price is in the green today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) energy stock closed flat yesterday, trading for $23.79. In morning trade on Tuesday, shares are changing hands for $23.94 apiece, up 0.6%.

For some context, the ASX 200 is also up 0.6% at this same time.

As for Woodside's chief competitors, the Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price is down 0.2% at the time of writing, while Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) shares are up 0.7%.

This comes as two forces combine to lift global oil prices from multi-year lows.

Woodside share price rises as oil lifts from lows

As you're likely aware, the Woodside share price, along with Beach Energy and Santos shares, has been struggling amid slumping oil and gas prices.

That's been driven by fears of weak demand from the United States and China as the world's top two economies may struggle to achieve their growth targets.

On Friday, Brent crude oil was trading for US$71.06 per barrel, its lowest level since December 2021.

But following this weekend's meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+), and with a hurricane brewing in the energy-rich US Gulf Coast, oil ticked higher overnight.

Brent crude is up 1.1% since Friday's lows, currently fetching US$71.84 per barrel.

A cartel and a hurricane

Turning to OPEC+ first, the oil price – and, by connection, the Woodside share price – could experience some tailwinds as traders factor in the cartel's decision to delay its planned production restoration by two months in response to tumbling prices.

The voluntary production cuts of some 2.2 million barrels per day were meant to begin gradually rolling back in October. This would have seen an extra 180,000 barrels per day returned to the market commencing next month, with an extra 540,000 barrels per day produced by the end of the year.

Commenting on the group's decision, Amrita Sen, director of research at Energy Aspects said (quoted by The Financial Times), "OPEC+ have always stated they will adjust their policy depending on market conditions and that is exactly what they did as demand indications recently have been weak."

While on the subject of tailwinds, oil and the Woodside share price could get a boost as Tropical Storm Francine moves towards Louisiana in the US Gulf Coast. The storm, predicted to reach hurricane forces, has already halted production at some offshore facilities, with crew evacuating.

The region accounts for almost half of the US oil refining capacity.

According to Dennis Kissler, senior vice president for trading at BOK Financial Securities, oil prices now look oversold (courtesy of Bloomberg).

"The latest selloff of nearly US$9 a barrel has been a bit overexaggerated. The market is nearing an oversold condition and has perhaps fallen too far, too fast," Kissler said.

The Woodside share price remains down 37% over 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

A uranium plant worker in full protective clothing squats near a radioactive warning sign at the site of a uranium processing plant.
Energy Shares

An Australian energy stock poised for major growth in 2026

An Australian uranium producer could benefit from rising nuclear demand and tighter global supply.

Read more »

Female oil worker in front of a pumpjack.
Energy Shares

Up 34% in 12 months, here's why Amplitude Energy shares can keep rising

Are these energy shares a buy, hold or sell according to Bell Potter?

Read more »

A coal miner wearing a red hard hat holds a piece of coal up and gives the thumbs up sign in his other hand
Energy Shares

Which ASX 200 coal share is this fundie buying more of?

And should you buy it, too?

Read more »

A worker with a clipboard stands in front of a nuclear energy facility.
Energy Shares

Best 3 ASX 200 uranium shares of 2025

Uranium shares flourished as nations adopted policies for locally-produced nuclear power.

Read more »

A man sees some good news on his phone and gives a little cheer.
Energy Shares

Should you buy Paladin Energy shares after its strong update?

Bell Potter has upgraded its valuation for this high-flying uranium stock.

Read more »

Oil worker giving a thumbs up in an oil field.
Energy Shares

Santos shares increase on strong quarterly cash flows

Let's take a look.

Read more »

Oil worker using a smartphone in front of an oil rig.
Energy Shares

What's Bell Potter's view on Beach Energy shares after its 9% production dip?

How does the broker view this stock after yesterday's report?

Read more »

A man wearing a suit holds his arms aloft, attached to a large lithium battery with green charging symbols on it.
Energy Shares

Up 10% in a month. Is this ASX lithium stock finally back on track?

Vulcan shares rise after successful production testing at its flagship Lionheart lithium project.

Read more »