Is this the most underrated ASX share in the ASX 300?

I think this stock has a very promising future.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The S&P/ASX 300 Index (ASX: XKO) share Nick Scali Limited (ASX: NCK) is a high-quality business, in my opinion.

The company recently reported its FY24 result. The headline numbers weren't exciting, as the ASX retail share operated in challenging retail conditions, and plenty of households reduced their discretionary spending.

Nick Scali reported its revenue declined 7.8% to $468.2 million, while net profit after tax (NPAT) sank 20.3%.

The company advised that written sales orders for Australia and New Zealand were up 2.4%. Revenue in FY23 (the comparative period) benefited from increased deliveries as the June 2022 order bank reduced with lead times returning to pre-COVID levels.

Despite the weaker result, I think there are four key reasons to love this business.

A woman relaxes on a yellow couch with a book and cuppa, and looks pensively away as she contemplates the joy of earning passive income.

Image source: The Motley Fool

ANZ and UK store rollout potential

One of the easiest ways for a brick-and-mortar retailer to increase profit is by expanding its store network.

At June 2024, the ASX 300 share had 64 Nick Scali stores, 44 Plush stores and 20 Fabb Furniture UK stores.

Management thinks the company can grow the number of Nick Scali branded stores in Australia and New Zealand to 86 over the long term, which would represent a 34% increase.

The number of Plush stores could grow to between 90 and 100. Reaching 90 Plush stores in Australia and New Zealand would represent a rise of 104% over the long term.

In May 2024, Nick Scali expanded to the United Kingdom by buying Fabb Furniture. The ASX 300 share hasn't advised its growth plans for the UK. But, considering its population of more than 67 million compared to 27 million in Australia, I think reaching 90 Fabb Furniture stores would be a reasonable longer-term goal.

This is why I think the ASX company can more than double its store network size in the long term, giving it a long growth runway ahead.

Higher margins

Over the years, Nick Scali has shown an ability to grow its profit margins thanks to scale benefits and operational improvements.

The company reported its ANZ gross profit margin improved to 66% in FY24, up 2.5% from FY23.

As Nick Scali grows, I think its underlying margins can increase, particularly if it implements various initiatives at Plush and Fabb Furniture. An advantage of becoming larger, I'll point out, is better buying power from suppliers.

Excellent return on equity

A good metric to compare any business is the return on equity (ROE), which tells us how much profit a company makes compared to how much shareholder money is retained.

In FY23, the company demonstrated how much money it made with a ROE of more than 50%.

The FY24, ROE reduced to close to 30% due to the company's capital raising for the UK acquisition and profit reduction amid challenging retail conditions.

I think the FY23 ROE is a sign of how strong the ASX 300 share's ROE could be in the future once the UK business plans are enacted and trading conditions improve.

Dividends

Nick Scali typically offers investors a solid dividend, which means pleasing cash returns while they wait for the growth plans to play out.

In FY24, the ASX 300 share paid an annual dividend per share of 68 cents. At the current Nick Scali share price, that translates to a grossed-up dividend yield of 6.5%, which I think is a solid yield.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Nick Scali. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

A trendy woman wearing sunglasses splashes cash notes from her hands.
Retail Shares

3 reasons why the Wesfarmers share price is a buy

This business has a very promising future. Here’s why I think it’s a buy…

Read more »

Frustrated man looking exhausted while sitting at his desk with his laptop and carrying his glasses in his hand.
Retail Shares

Why the ASX 200 just hit a 6-week low

Consumer sentiment cracked and the retailers wore it.

Read more »

Piles of increasing coins on Australian $100 notes.
Retail Shares

If I buy $4,000 of Wesfarmers shares, how much dividend income will I receive?

Wesfarmers continues to be a reliable source of dividends…

Read more »

Stacks of Australian dollar currency banknotes.
Dividend Investing

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2029 for Wesfarmers shares

Wesfarmers could be one of the best dividend picks.

Read more »

Man holding out $50 and $100 notes in his hands, symbolising ex dividend.
Dividend Investing

Everything you need to know about the Wesfarmers dividend

The Bunnings and Kmart owner has declared its next dividend.

Read more »

Woman analysing data.
Retail Shares

Here's what brokers tip for Wesfarmers shares over the next 12 months

Investors have been eagerly anticipating the latest financial update.

Read more »

Two women shoppers smile as they look at a pair of earrings in a costume jewellery store with a selection of large, colourful necklaces made of beads lined up on a display shelf next to them.
Retail Shares

Why I think the Lovisa share price is an excellent long-term buy right now

I think this stock is a sparkling opportunity.

Read more »

A beautiful woman holds up one finger with one hand and has her hand on her waist with the other as she smiles widely as though she is very pleased about something.
Retail Shares

Why is this $3 billion ASX retail stock rocketing 19% today?

Lovisa must sustain store growth and comparable sales to keep rallying.

Read more »