Citi says steer clear from this ASX share after FY24 earnings

The reaction to Beach's FY24 numbers has been swift.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

It's earnings season for ASX shares once again and to say results have been mixed would be an understatement.

Analysts have started to chime in and offer their take on several companies' FY24 results, offering equally as mixed views.

Following its FY24 results on Monday, brokers at investment bank Citi are advising investors to avoid Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) for the time being.

Let's see what the broker said about this ASX share.

Man on a laptop thinking.

Image source: Getty Images

ASX share wobbles after results

Beach Energy posted its FY24 numbers before the open on Monday with several key takeouts. Its share price is down more than 11% at the time of writing.

Results were mixed, with a 9% increase in sales revenue to $1.8 billion on an 11% decline in underlying net profit.

But the key issue for the ASX share was a downward revision of its oil resource reserves, particularly at its Enterprise field.

After conducting several tests at its various sites, the company's findings showed pressure declines at various assets, meaning its resource pool was smaller than anticipated.

It then hired "external experts" to conduct a post-mortem on the estimates.

This revision, which resulted in a reduction of 11.5 million barrels of oil equivalent, has likely been a major factor in the sharp decline in the share price today.

Despite this, Beach made no changes to its production guidance. Only to the resource estimates.

Top broker weighs in

As a result of the newly revised estimates of Beach's resource pool, the case to buy the ASX share has become difficult to fathom, according to Citi.

Analysts noted the "rapid deterioration" of Beach Energy's asset quality in a post-earnings note to clients, according to The Australian.

We expect the rapid degradation of portfolio quality would require substantial M&A to dilute the poor performing assets…

…Investors could instead wait for transformation execution to de-risk and for BPT to do its deals to better understand what this business will look like. Until then, a buy case in BPT is a difficult prospect in our view.

Citi has issued a sell recommendation on Beach Energy shares.

Meanwhile, the consensus of analyst estimates had rated the ASX share a buy leading into its FY24 earnings.

Consensus estimates also project earnings of 17 cents per share in FY25 from the company.

It will be interesting to see what, if any, changes are made afterwards.

Foolish takeout

With its revised resource estimates, both investors and brokers at Citi are more cautious on the company in Monday's trading. Selling pressure continues at the time of writing.

The ASX share has extended losses to more than 20% for the year to date.

Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Sell written several times on board.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Tabcorp and NAB shares

A leading expert believes Tabcorp and NAB shares are likely to underperform into 2027.

Read more »

Woman and man worker in quarry on excavation machine looking at a clipboard.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Orica, GQG Partners, BHP shares

Let's start the week with some new ratings from the experts

Read more »

Woman using her laptop with her feet up.
Broker Notes

This ASX 200 stock just received a fresh buy rating and is tipped to climb 15%

This stock is set to keep rising.

Read more »

Smiling man paying for his order from his phone on an EFTPOS machine at a restaurant.
Broker Notes

Ord Minnett tips this ASX financials stock to double within the next 12 months 

This stock offers a big yield and big upside.

Read more »

A group of market analysts sit and stand around their computers in an open-plan office environment.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Coles, NAB, CSL shares

Here's what Dylan Evans from Catapult Wealth thinks of these three ASX 200 shares.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Broker Notes

2 ASX 200 shares to buy and 1 to sell now

Which shares is this expert bullish and bearish on?

Read more »

A man in his office leans back in his chair with his hands behind his head looking out his window at the city.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Wooden house models on a table with a man using a calculator.
Broker Notes

Why this expert believes it's time to exit positions in REA Group shares

One broker is calling time on this ASX 200 stock.

Read more »