Citi says steer clear from this ASX share after FY24 earnings

The reaction to Beach's FY24 numbers has been swift.

| More on:
Man on a laptop thinking.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

It's earnings season for ASX shares once again and to say results have been mixed would be an understatement.

Analysts have started to chime in and offer their take on several companies' FY24 results, offering equally as mixed views.

Following its FY24 results on Monday, brokers at investment bank Citi are advising investors to avoid Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) for the time being.

Let's see what the broker said about this ASX share.

ASX share wobbles after results

Beach Energy posted its FY24 numbers before the open on Monday with several key takeouts. Its share price is down more than 11% at the time of writing.

Results were mixed, with a 9% increase in sales revenue to $1.8 billion on an 11% decline in underlying net profit.

But the key issue for the ASX share was a downward revision of its oil resource reserves, particularly at its Enterprise field.

After conducting several tests at its various sites, the company's findings showed pressure declines at various assets, meaning its resource pool was smaller than anticipated.

It then hired "external experts" to conduct a post-mortem on the estimates.

This revision, which resulted in a reduction of 11.5 million barrels of oil equivalent, has likely been a major factor in the sharp decline in the share price today.

Despite this, Beach made no changes to its production guidance. Only to the resource estimates.

Top broker weighs in

As a result of the newly revised estimates of Beach's resource pool, the case to buy the ASX share has become difficult to fathom, according to Citi.

Analysts noted the "rapid deterioration" of Beach Energy's asset quality in a post-earnings note to clients, according to The Australian.

We expect the rapid degradation of portfolio quality would require substantial M&A to dilute the poor performing assets…

…Investors could instead wait for transformation execution to de-risk and for BPT to do its deals to better understand what this business will look like. Until then, a buy case in BPT is a difficult prospect in our view.

Citi has issued a sell recommendation on Beach Energy shares.

Meanwhile, the consensus of analyst estimates had rated the ASX share a buy leading into its FY24 earnings.

Consensus estimates also project earnings of 17 cents per share in FY25 from the company.

It will be interesting to see what, if any, changes are made afterwards.

Foolish takeout

With its revised resource estimates, both investors and brokers at Citi are more cautious on the company in Monday's trading. Selling pressure continues at the time of writing.

The ASX share has extended losses to more than 20% for the year to date.

Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to buy these shares.

Read more »

Overjoyed man celebrating success with yes gesture after getting some good news on mobile.
Broker Notes

Why Bell Potter just upgraded this ASX All Ords share to a buy rating

The broker has turned bullish on this growing company. Here's what you need to know.

Read more »

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Broker Notes

Bell Potter says these ASX shares are best buys in January

The broker has good things to say about these shares.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A group of people push and shove through the doors of a store, trying to beat the crowd.
Broker Notes

2 ASX shares highly recommended to buy: Experts

Are these two stocks the best buys on the ASX?

Read more »

Smiling couple sitting on a couch with laptops fist pump each other.
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% to 55%

Brokers have good things to say about these shares.

Read more »

A little girl is about to launch down the slide with a blue sky and white clouds in the sky behind her.
Broker Notes

BHP vs. Fortescue shares: Goldman Sachs says 1 will rip and 1 will dip

Top broker Goldman Sachs upgraded its 12-month share price forecasts for BHP and Fortescue shares this week.

Read more »

Buy, hold, and sell ratings written on signs on a wooden pole.
Broker Notes

Brokers rate these 3 ASX shares as buys in January

These ASX shares have an exciting outlook according to experts.

Read more »