Should I buy Westpac shares after their 6.5% drop?

Reviews are mixed on the banking major.

| More on:
Lines of codes and graphs in the background with woman looking at laptop trying to understand the data.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

As the ASX market took a sharp turn for the worse last week, Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) shares went along for the ride.

Shares in the ASX banking major had just nudged a 52-week high of $29.80 on 31 July before sliding to close Tuesday's session at $27.82, down 6.5% from its previous highs.

As one of Australia's largest banks, Westpac is a popular choice for Aussie investors. But the recent volatility raises the question: Is now the right time to buy Westpac shares?

Let's see what the experts think.

The dividend factor

Westpac shares are a staple for income investors, largely due to their fully franked dividends. Over the past year, Westpac paid out dividends of $1.62 per share.

Based on the current share price, this equates to a yield of 5.1% — more than most high-yield savings accounts.

Looking ahead, Goldman Sachs analysts forecast a fully franked final dividend of 75 cents per share to be declared in November. The payment should arrive just in time for a nice Christmas present.

For FY25, Goldman expects the dividend to be $1.50 per share.

With the recent pullback in share price this has widened up the dividend yield somewhat. Prices and yields move inversely, such that a decrease in the value of a stock corresponds to an increase in the dividend yield.

For instance, a stock valued at $50 with a dividend of $5 per share has a dividend yield of 10% (5/50 = 10%). But if the price drops to, say, $45 apiece, the dividend yield is now 11% (5/45 = 11%).

Prior to Westpac's selloff, the FY25 estimated dividend yield was 5%, and it has lifted to 5.4% at the time of writing.

This recent Westpac share price weakness might, therefore, be seen as a positive for income investors.

Is It a good time to buy Westpac shares?

Despite the attractive dividend yield, major brokers are cautious about Westpac's prospects. And even though it sees strong dividends, Goldman Sachs has a sell rating on Westpac shares.

Its price target is $24.10 per share, implying further downside to come.

The broker's concerns include the risks associated with Westpac's technology transformation and its heavy reliance on the Australian housing market.

WBC is the most exposed to Australian housing, and we believe the relative outlook for system housing lending is likely to be constrained by an already full indebted household…

Similarly, Citi and UBS also have sell ratings on Westpac shares, with price targets of $24.75 and $25.00, respectively.

The consensus of analyst ratings also recommends Westpac shares as a sell, according to CommSec. With sentiment this low, it's unclear what this means for the stock moving forward.

Foolish takeouts

Westpac shares are in an interesting position. While income investors might find the dividends appealing, those seeking growth may want to explore other options, experts say.

As always, remember to conduct your own due diligence and consider your investment goals before making any stock purchase.

Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Bank Shares

Are ANZ shares a buy following the CBA result?

Could ANZ shares be a compelling investment amid recent insights into the banking sector?

Read more »

Woman with $50 notes in her hand thinking, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Here's the CBA dividend forecast through to 2027

How big will the CBA dividend be in 2027? Let's find out.

Read more »

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.
Earnings Results

NAB share price charges higher after Q3 update impresses

Investors are happy with the bank's performance during the third quarter.

Read more »

Modern accountant woman in a light business suit in modern green office with documents and laptop.
Earnings Results

NAB shares on watch amid $1.75b quarterly cash profit

How did this big four bank perform during the quarter?

Read more »

A young woman sits with her hand to her chin staring off to the side thinking about her investments.
Bank Shares

Would I buy CBA shares right now?

Should investors look beyond the noise and invest in the ASX bank share?

Read more »

Woman and man calculating a dividend yield.
Bank Shares

Westpac shares: Preview of the bank's FY24 earnings next week

Expectations are high, but expert opinions are mixed.

Read more »

Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.
Bank Shares

What are analysts saying about the CBA share price?

Did analysts like the banking giant's FY 2024 results?

Read more »

A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop
Bank Shares

Is this the most important metric for CBA shares?

Investors should pay close attention to this profit metric.

Read more »