Why the Woolworths share price could be a market beater

Goldman Sachs thinks that investors should snap up the retail giant's shares before it's too late.

| More on:
Happy man working on his laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price was under pressure on Tuesday.

The supermarket giant's shares dropped into the red after announcing the exit of another executive.

Woolworths advised that Natalie Davis is resigning from the role of managing director of the key Australian Supermarkets business to join Ramsay Health Care Ltd (ASX: RHC).

She will be leaving in September, which is the same month that Woolworths Group CEO, Brad Banducci, is stepping down from the top job.

Should investors be concerned?

Analysts at Goldman Sachs don't believe these exits are anything to worry about. This is due partly to its confidence in Banducci's replacement. It said:

We think Ms Davis' resignation may not come as a surprise to the market, after Ms Bardwell's appointment as [Group] CEO in Feb 2024. Having headed up Woolies X, we believe that Ms Bardwell will bring the skillset and experience to drive WOW to the next level of growth.

In addition, Goldman highlights the significant talent pool in the industry. This should make it easier to find a new Australian supermarkets CEO. It adds:

Our discussions with industry participants suggests that the talent pool in more traditional supermarket retail/commercial operations is deep, suggesting options for filling the post of MD of Woolworth Supermarkets. As such we would not expect a materially negative impact to the Australian Foods business for WOW from Ms Davis' departure. In our experience, when there is a change in CEO, a cohesive approach can be more readily attained if all key leadership team are personally appointed by the CEO.

Is the Woolworths share price good value?

In light of the above, Goldman Sachs thinks that investors should be snapping up Woolworths shares now.

According to the note, the broker has reaffirmed its conviction buy rating and $40.20 price target on the company's shares. Based on the current Woolworths share price of $34.38, this implies potential market-beating upside of 17% for investors over the next 12 months.

Goldman is bullish for the following reasons:

We are Buy rated on the stock as we believe the business has among the highest consumer stickiness and loyalty among peers, and hence has strong ability to drive market share gains via its omni-channel advantage, as well as its ability to pass through any cost inflation to protect its margins, beyond market expectations. The stock is trading below its historical average (since 2018), and we see this as a value entry level for a high-quality and defensive stock.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Two workers at an oil rig discuss operations.
Broker Notes

Should you buy Santos, Beach Energy or Woodside shares? Here's Macquarie's top pick

Macquarie has released its new share price expectations for Santos, Beach Energy and Woodside shares.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

person holding hat
Broker Notes

3 ASX 200 large-cap shares just re-rated by analysts

We reveal the latest views on an ASX 200 large-cap miner, retailer, and consumer staples leader.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Down 80% in 2025: Is it time to buy this beaten down ASX stock?

Let's see what Bell Potter is saying about this stock after its heavy decline.

Read more »

A white and black robot in the form of a human being stands in front of a green graphic holding a laptop and discussing robotics and automation ASX shares
Broker Notes

NextDC shares jump 11% on major OpenAI deal

This data centre operator will be home to the AI giant in Australia.

Read more »

A large clear wine glass on the left of the image filled with fifty dollar notes on a timber table with a wine cellar or cabinet with bottles in the background.
Broker Notes

Macquarie names 3 top dividend-paying ASX 200 shares to buy today

Macquarie expects these three dividend paying ASX 200 shares to outperform in 2026. Let’s see why.

Read more »

Confident male executive dressed in a dark blue suit leans against a doorway with his arms crossed in the corporate office
Broker Notes

Broker reveals ratings on 4 ASX 200 sector leaders

Prefer ASX 200 large-cap stocks? Here are some new ratings and price targets for four sector leaders.

Read more »

A young boy points and smiles as he eats fried chicken.
Broker Notes

Why brokers are bullish on this rapidly-growing ASX 200 share

This business is delivering tasty earnings growth…

Read more »