Should I buy BHP shares after a 16% drop?

Here's my take on BHP's current share price.

| More on:
2 people at mining site, bhp share price, mining shares

Image Source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

As most ASX investors would be happily aware, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has had a wonderfully successful few months. Over July, the ASX 200 has reset its record high more than once, hitting a top of 8,083.7 points in the middle of the month. But one stock was conspicuously absent from this euphoria – BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares. 

When the market hits a new record high, you can expect to see some of the ASX's major blue chips also reaching new heights. Indeed, the past few months have seen shares ranging from Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) and National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) to CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) and Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) clock new 52-week highs of their own.

But not BHP.

Yesterday, the 'Big Australian' closed at $42.07, down 0.07% for the day. Not only does that leave BHP down 2.84% over the past month alone, it means that the mining giant has lost a whopping 16.76% in 2024 to date.

Take a look for yourself below:

As such, we can conclude that the ASX 200 reached new records this month despite BHP shares, not because of them. BHP remains the second-largest stock in the ASX 200 by size and influence, having lost its crown as Australia's largest public company to CBA earlier in the month.

But does the downward trajectory of BHP shares in 2024 mean that investors should take another look at the miner today?

Are BHP shares a buy today after losing 16% in 2024?

Let's put these falls in context first. It's likely that BHP has faced this share price pressure in 2024 due to falling commodity prices. Iron ore, in particular, has come off the boil this year after a few years of record prices.

As one would expect, this seems to have resulted in BHP, as well as other major ASX miners like Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG) and Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO), experiencing sharp drops in value over the past seven or so months.

But do these falls leave BHP shares looking cheap?

Well, I would posit that BHP is indeed looking cheap right now. Not bargain-basement cheap, but good value nonetheless. Today, BHP is trading at the same share price as it was in December of 2020. Yet it also currently has a trailing dividend yield (which also comes fully franked) of 5.58%.

This is a world-leading miner with exposure to mostly future-facing commodities like iron ore, copper, nickel and potash. BHP is also no longer meaningfully exposed to oil or thermal coal.

As such, today's pricing is a decent entry point for long-term investors looking for a diversified, world-class resources stock to add to their portfolio.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in CSL, National Australia Bank and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

busy trader on the phone in front of board depicting asx share price risers and fallers
Resources Shares

Brokers issue new price targets on soaring ASX 200 mining shares

ASX 200 mining shares BHP, PLS Group, South32, and many others hit multi-year highs this week.

Read more »

Business people standing at a mine site smiling.
Resources Shares

Buying BHP and Rio Tinto shares? Here's how the ASX mining giants are partnering up

Rio Tinto and BHP are shaking things up in Western Australia.

Read more »

Two young male miners wearing red hardhats stand inside a mine and shake hands
Resources Shares

Mining momentum: 2 ASX stocks that could surprise investors this January

Copper demand is rising fast in 2026, putting Sandfire Resources and Rio Tinto back in focus.

Read more »

Two miners standing together with a smile on their faces.
Resources Shares

Fortescue shares vs. BHP: Which delivered superior returns in 2025?

We compare the 12-month returns of the two biggest ASX 200 mining shares, BHP and Fortescue.

Read more »

A gloved hand holds lumps of silver against a background of dirt as if at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Silver just tumbled 5% today. What on earth is going on?

Silver fell 5% after record highs as profit taking hit demand.

Read more »

Engineer looking at mining trucks at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Gallium has been earmarked as a critical mineral. Here's how you can get exposure on the ASX

These four companies are all looking to become producers.

Read more »

A woman is very excited about something she's just seen on her computer, clenching her fists and smiling broadly.
Resources Shares

Up 113% since April, why this $4 billion ASX 200 mining stock is tipped to keep outperforming in 2026

A leading broker forecasts more outperformance from this surging ASX 200 mining stock.

Read more »

Three miners stand together at a mine site studying documents with equipment in the background
Resources Shares

BHP shares hover near 52-week high as momentum builds. Is a breakout coming?

BHP shares trade near a 52-week high as buyer momentum supports the uptrend.

Read more »