Down 17% in 3 months, is it time to buy this ASX 200 dividend superstar?

Brickworks shares are trading at an attractive valuation, according to experts.

| More on:
A bricklayer peeps over the top of a brick wall he is laying with a level measuring tool on top.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Brickworks Limited (ASX: BKW) share price has fallen around 17% in the last three months after reaching an all-time high of $31 on 8 March this year. 

This decline brings its share price back to $26, the same level it was a year ago, as we can see in the chart below. In contrast, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has surged 7.2% during the same period.

Income-focused investors might be wondering if this is a good time to buy into this consistent dividend payer.

Undervalued relative to its asset value 

Bell Potter certainly thinks so, as my colleague James covers in this recent article.

According to Bell Potter, the stock could be undervalued as it offers a discount on its net tangible asset (NTA) value, which includes a 26.1% shareholding in Washington H Soul Pattinson & Company Ltd (ASX: SOL). Bell Potter highlighted:

We believe that an attractive look-through opportunity has recently presented in BKW, with our mark to market valuation of SOL indicating that the stock is currently trading at a 3.6% discount to pre-tax NTA.

This compares to an average pre-tax premium to NTA of 3.9% (post the MLT merger) and represents the widest valuation gap since July '22.

Shortage in industrial properties continues

Another key component of Brickworks' NTA is its prime industrial land holdings across Australia and the United States, most notably in Western Sydney. The area is experiencing soaring demand for industrial properties as consumer demand for online shopping remains high.

In a market update in May, the company explained:

These structural trends, along with land supply issues, have driven up rent for prime industrial property in Wetsern Sydney by 55% in the past two years. We estimate that the current passing rent within the Industrial JV Trust [of Brickworks] of $147/m2 is now 35% below average market rent of $225/m2.

Valuation comment 

Following its recent drop, the Brickworks share price is trading at a price-to-book ratio (PBR) of 1.14x. 

Over the past 10 years, shares in Brickworks have rarely traded below the company's book value, except during the COVID-19 pandemic when the PBR dropped to 0.84x.

The book value, different from NTA, is based on the value of its asset holdings as of 31 December 2023, without accounting for potential upside from future land development.

Foolish takeaway

The Brickworks share price is trading at an attractive valuation relative to its asset value, which is supported by industrial land shortages in prime locations, in my opinion.  

This could present a buying opportunity for some dividend investors.

Motley Fool contributor Kate Lee has positions in Brickworks. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Brickworks. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Brickworks. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

a large pile of cash made up of bundled $100 notes is piled against a plain background.
Dividend Investing

Investors can target $1,240 a year in dividend income from $20,000 in this ultra-high-yielding ASX 200 gem – here's how

This business can provide significant passive income.

Read more »

A businessman compares the growth trajectory of property versus shares.
Growth Shares

2 ASX giants to buy for decades of growth and dividends

Income or growth? Why not have both!

Read more »

a man in a shirt and tie holds his chin in thoughtful contemplation and looks skywards as if thinking about something while a graphic of a road with many ups and downs unfurls behind him.
Dividend Investing

Down 8%, this passive income stock offers a 4.6% dividend yield!

Despite a stagnant share price, this stock's payouts have never been higher.

Read more »

Man putting in a coin in a coin jar with piles of coins next to it.
Dividend Investing

Dividend investing opportunities emerging as quality ASX stocks reset

A pullback in quality ASX shares may be the opening dividend investors have been waiting for.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Dividend Investing

Analysts expect 4% to 6% dividend yields from these ASX stocks

Good yields are expected from these names in the near term.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

3 ASX dividend shares to buy with $5,000

Analysts think these shares could be top picks for income investors.

Read more »

A young bank customer wearing a yellow jumper smiles as she checks her bank balance on her phone.
Dividend Investing

Forget Westpac shares and buy these ASX dividend stocks

Analysts think these shares would be better buys for income investors.

Read more »

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Dividend Investing

Bell Potter names the best ASX dividend shares to buy in December

These are high conviction picks according to the broker.

Read more »