Are CBA share buyers getting the highest growth in return for being the most expensive?

Can higher growth justify the CBA share price premium?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

It's no secret that amongst the ASX bank stocks, Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) shares are the premium option on the investing menu.

Commonwealth Bank shares have long delivered capital gains that would make the owners of other ASX banks green with envy.

To illustrate, the CBA share price is today sitting at a five-year gain of 53%. That's almost double that of National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB), which has returned 29.2% over the same period.

It runs rings around ANZ Group Holding Ltd's (ASX: ANZ) 2.6% increase over the same period, and laughably better than Westpac Banking Corp's (ASX: WBC) loss of 2.44%.

CBA is also up 20.67% over just the past 12 months, and has raced 5.8% higher over 2024 to date.

Check all of that out for yourself here:

But the downside of this extraordinary success is that today, CBA shares trade at a significant premium to their banking peers. And 'significant' is arguably an understatement.

Today, CBA shares are commanding a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.99. For one, that's 33.6% more expensive than even its closest rival – NAB on an earnings multiple of 15.7. But it runs rings around Westpac's 14.95 and makes ANZ's 12.52 P/E ratio look silly.

So, to put it simply, investors are today being asked to pay almost $21 for every $1 of CBA's earnings, but they are only being asked to fork out $12.52 for every $1 of ANZ's earnings.

A woman in a bright yellow jumper looks happily at her yellow piggy bank.

Image source: Getty Images

Are CBA shares worth the premium price compared to other ASX banks?

It is the conventional wisdom on the ASX that higher P/E shares tend to have better growth prospects than ones with low P/Es. That's why investors are happy to pay more for the company.

But is this really the case with CBA? Sure, it is the largest ASX bank in terms of both sheer size and market share. It can also be argued that CBA is a higher-quality business. But let's dig into whether this P/E ratio can be justified.

Comparing bank earnings is always a little tricky because the big four's financial calendars don't exactly align. But we can do some quick comparisons regardless.

Earlier this month, CBA released a quarterly update covering the three months to 31 March 2024. As we covered at the time, this had CBA report a 5% drop in statutory net profits after tax to $2.4 billion.

This actually looks worse than the half-year report ANZ delivered around the same time. This had ANZ reveal a 4% fall in profits after tax to $3.41 billion for the six months to 31 March.

NAB's half-yearly earnings report for the same period advised an underlying profit of $5.47 billion, which was a whopping 10.6% drop over the previous corresponding period.

Westpac also released a half-year earnings report around the same time. This report revealed that the ASX bank suffered an 8% decline in net profits to $3.51 billion over the six months to 31 March.

Foolish takeaway

Yes, CBA's latest earnings update covered only three months, while the other major banks reported for six months. But it doesn't exactly show CBA's earnings leading the pack.

This might be why most ASX analysts are describing the CBA share price as overvalued at the current time.

However, the market is still pricing CBA at a significant premium compared to its peers in ANZ, NAB, and Westpac. Only time will tell if the bank's future earnings can justify that.

At the latest CBA share price, this ASX 200 banking giant has a market capitalisation of $198.97 billion, with a dividend yield of 3.79%.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in National Australia Bank. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

View of a business man's hand passing a $100 note to another with a bank in the background.
Bank Shares

In the midst of economic turmoil, what does Morgan Stanley say the ASX banks are worth?

The economic headwinds are building.

Read more »

Three children wearing athletic short and singlets stand side by side on a running track wearing medals around their necks and standing with their hands on their hips.
Bank Shares

ANZ, NAB, Westpac, and CBA shares: Analysts rate 3 to sell, and 1 to buy

One ASX bank stock stands out from the rest.

Read more »

Three businesspeople leap high with the CBD in the background.
Bank Shares

Macquarie shares soar 21% to a 52-week high: Buy, sell or hold?

The investment bank's shares climbed higher again on Wednesday. Here's what analysts expect from the stock next.

Read more »

Woman leaping in the air and standing out from her friends who are watching.
Bank Shares

$5,000 invested in CBA shares two years ago is now worth…

It shows you don’t need high-risk growth stocks to build wealth.

Read more »

Woman in business suit holds both hands out with a question mark above each hand.
Bank Shares

What's going on with the ANZ share price?

ANZ shares have gone on a rollercoaster ride this year.

Read more »

Worried woman calculating domestic bills.
Bank Shares

Are Westpac and Bank of Queensland shares a buy, hold or sell?

Which does the broker prefer?

Read more »

A woman in her late 30s holds her hands out either side with the palms up as if indicating she doesn't know the answer to a question. She has a quizzical look on her face.
Bank Shares

CBA shares jump another 9.5% in April: Buy, sell or hold?

CBA shares closed in the green again on Tuesday afternoon.

Read more »

A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.
Bank Shares

Why Westpac shares are holding near record highs after a $75 million hit

Westpac shares rise despite a $75 million half-year profit hit.

Read more »