Here's the Coles share price I would buy at

I'd be happy to buy Coles… at the right price.

| More on:
A man in a supermarket strikes an unlikely pose while pushing a trolley, lifting both legs sideways off the ground and looking mildly rattled with a wide-mouthed expression.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) shares are a popular investment on the ASX. That's understandable. After all, Coles is one of the most prominent businesses in the country, given that it runs the nation's second-largest network of supermarket grocery stores.

Coles is, in my view, a relatively defensive company. It has a durable earnings base and a solid and reliable dividend track record. Despite this, the Coles share price has displayed significant volatility since it was listed on the ASX in its own right back in late 2018.

To illustrate, Coles shares have traded between $12.50 and $19 over the past five years. Today, the company is priced smack bang in the middle of this range. At the close of trading on Wednesday, it was asking $16.11 a share.

Take a look at all this for yourself here:

As we've covered before here at the Fool, I find Coles appealing for a number of reasons. This stock's dividend track record, as well as its defensive nature, are two things I tend to look for in an ASX share.

But finding a quality company is only half the investment process. As the late great Charlie Munger once said, "No matter how wonderful a business is, it's not worth an infinite price."

So, what price would I be happy to buy Coles shares at today?

What price would make me buy Coles shares?

Well, when it comes to a dividend payer like Coles, I like to gauge an investing case by using the dividend yield. As any good investor knows, a company's dividend yield has an inverse relationship with its share price.

Because of this relationship, in Coles' case, we can use the dividend yield to determine what has historically been a good investment price.

Right now, Coles has a dividend yield of 4.1%, which includes full franking credits. That's not bad, given that the company was trading at a yield of just 3.53% last June when it was at its last 52-week high of $18.70.

However, it's not quite at a level where I'd be happy to buy. Coles' current 52-week low is $14.82, which was hit back in October last year. At this price, Coles' dividend yield would have been as high as 4.45%.

Now, I'm not waiting for Coles to get back to those levels. But I would become very interested if the company reached around $15 a share. At that price, investors could expect a dividend yield of around 4.4%.

Now, $15 might seem a long way from the current Coles stock price. But given this company's volatile past, I wouldn't be surprised to see it get back there at some point in the next year or two. And if it does, I might just have to buy some shares and hopefully secure a 4.4% dividend yield for my portfolio.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Coles Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

How much could a $10,000 investment in Woolworths shares become in one year?

Let's see what analysts are predicting for the supermarket giant's shares.

Read more »

A photo of a young couple who are purchasing fruits and vegetables at a market shop.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Buying Coles shares? Here are key metrics you'll want to know

Grab a coffee and join me in this fun financial analysis exercise for Coles.

Read more »

a cute young girl with curly hair sips a glass of milk through a straw with a smile on her face.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Guess which A2 Milk rival's shares just rocketed 21% on US news!

Up 65% in 2024, A2 Milk shares remain the better performer, but this rival is making up ground today.

Read more »

Happy smiling young woman drinking red wine while standing among the grapevines in a vineyard.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

What is boosting the Treasury Wine share price on Thursday?

This wine giant has some news that investors appear to be saying cheers to.

Read more »

a man inspects a capsicum while holding an eco-friendly green string bag in a supermarket produce aisle.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Are Woolworths shares a bargain after falling 20%?

Is it time to put Woolworths stock in our share shopping basket?

Read more »

A man and a woman sit in front of a laptop looking fascinated and captivated.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Guess which beaten-up ASX 200 stock is being bought up by this multi-billion-dollar fundie

At least 3 fund managers have bought stakes in this ASX 200 consumer discretionary share this year.

Read more »

Young people shopping in mall and having fun.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

6 ASX retail shares to buy this month

Bell Potter has given its verdict on these retailers.

Read more »

Older man and young boy smiling while drinking milk with milk moustaches
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Here is the earnings forecast out to 2026 for A2 Milk shares

A2 Milk earnings are projected to be on a good trajectory.

Read more »