Why more ASX mining shares could soon turn to takeover bids

The rush of mining shares merging on the ASX is a good thing, says this expert.

Those who have been paying attention to ASX mining shares on the stock market over the past couple of years might have noticed a bit of a trend. Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in the mining space are all the rage at the moment.

This was brought into sharp focus last month with the blockbuster $60 billion bid for the British miner Anglo American (LSE: AAL). As it currently stands, BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) and Anglo remain locked in a delicate courtship dance. However, we've seen other marriages that have been proposed and, in some cases, consummated, on the ASX recently.

The merger of the old Newcrest Mining Ltd with US gold mining behemoth Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) last year would probably be the best example. But there are many others.

A long story short, M&A seems to be the flavour of the month.

This might cause some consternation amongst some ASX fans of mining shares. After all, there are plenty of examples throughout the ASX's history of miners embarking on acquisition sprees when they are flush with cash at the height of a commodity cycle, only to shred shareholder capital when prices fall, but debts remain.

However, one ASX expert not only reckons that this latest wave of M&A is good for investors but also predicts that merger activity is still on its way up.

Two hands shake in close up at the side of a mine.

Image source: Getty Images

Expert: Don't fear ASX mining share M&A

As reported by the Australian Financial Review, BlackRock Mining Trust's Evy Hambro is telling investors not to fear. Hambro argues that, as a general rule, current conditions mean buying other companies or their assets is cheaper and more efficient for miners than building out new mines themselves.

Hambro, whose fund is the world's largest mining fund, has reportedly chided miners for focusing too much on M&A in the past at the expense of shareholder returns. But those are not concerns he appears to currently hold.

Here's some more of what he said:

Right now what we are seeing … is the cost of building new [mine] capacity has risen, we are seeing higher costs of constructing, we are seeing higher risks … around resource nationalism…

So I think the value of assets trading in the liquid market probably doesn't reflect the fully risk-adjusted cost of building new capacity, and I am sure that has caught the attention of many management teams.

We think M&A is just normal business, and there is a point in the cycle when things tend to pick up a bit…. We would be absolutely in support of companies maintaining that disciplined approach to how they allocate capital, and that is an essential part, I think, of maintaining trust with investors and maximising the returns.

So, no doubt that will come as some welcome assurance for many followers of ASX mining shares who might be feeling a little apprehensive about the M&A boom that we've been witnessing. Let's see which company comes up with a marriage proposal next.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in Newmont. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Retirement plan written on a chalkboard with increasing bar graphs and dollar signs on top.
Superannuation

Why I'd invest $50,000 of superannuation in New Hope, Mineral Resources and BHP shares

New Hope, Mineral Resources, and BHP shares offer surprising diversity for your superannuation investment.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

This ASX uranium stock could rise 40%: Broker

This company's main project is progressing well.

Read more »

Woman and man worker in quarry on excavation machine looking at a clipboard.
Resources Shares

What do brokers tip for Fortescue shares over the next 12 months?

Are the mining shares a buy, sell or hold now?

Read more »

Two miners talking to each other.
Resources Shares

BHP shares fall as mining operations grind to a halt

BHP shares are falling again as another setback hits.

Read more »

a man with a hard hat and high visibility vest stands with a clipboard and pen in front of a large pile of rock at a mining site.
Resources Shares

Whitehaven Coal vs New Hope: Which ASX coal share offers better value today?

Whitehaven Coal and New Hope go head-to-head: which ASX coal stock offers better value, income, and momentum for Australian investors…

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

Capricorn Metals shares: Karlawinda Expansion Project completes on time

Capricorn Metals has completed its Karlawinda Expansion Project on time, now targeting steady gold production and a decade-long mine life.

Read more »

A beautiful ocean vista is shown with a woman whose back is to the camera holding her arms up in triumph as she stands at the top of a rock feeling thrilled that ASX 200 shares are reaching multi-year high prices today
Resources Shares

Best performing ASX 200 stock is up 350%. Can it keep rising?

This share has genuine scarcity value, but it's still a high-risk bet.

Read more »

a hand of a man in a suit points a finger towards old fashioned brass scales that are not balanced in the foreground of the picture.
Resources Shares

Are the BHP and CBA share price headed for parity?

A leading fund manager has a surprising forecast for BHP and CBA shares.

Read more »